UN Issues Dire Warning About World Economy

 　　The U.N. Conference on Trade and Development says the outlook for the world economy is very bleak¹. UNCTAD warns Europe is facing a full-fledged recession next year, and the best the United States and Japan can look forward to is a period of stagnation².

　　The U.N. Conference on Trade and Development is urging nations to move away from austerity measures toward policies aimed at stimulating³ growth. UNCTAD Director on Globalization and Development Strategies Heiner Flassbeck said that unfortunately, all governments in the world have decided⁴ to do just the opposite.

　　He said political leaders are choosing restrictive fiscal⁵ policies over economic stimulus⁶ measures. He warned this decision is creating a situation in which everyone is in danger of falling into recession.

　　“You see that there is everywhere a slowdown, at least, if not an outright⁷ fall of industrial production and things like that. So, there is no escape," said Flassbeck. "If the three big developed regions are not able to stimulate⁸ the economies, than we will fall all into a deep recession or at least a permanent stagnation… and deflation where you never get back on growth, on a growth path.”

　　Flassbeck notes Japan’s economy has been in a deflationary situation for 20 years. He said it has resulted in two lost decades.

　　The UN economist⁹ said private consumption is the most important overall component¹⁰ of growth in Japan, the euro zone and the United States. He added there will be no revival¹¹ if consumption cannot be revived in these areas.

　　He said there appears to be a political consensus¹² that fiscal policy should stay on an austerity path. Some politicians, he said, erroneously argue that the only way to regain¹³ confidence is by cutting deficits¹⁵.

　　“But, the fact of life is that we will not cut public deficits. It is only an attempt to cut public deficits. Governments are too big. They are just too big just to cut their expenditure¹⁶ and expect that their revenues will remain as they were before. They will not. They will fall. Revenues will fall and with falling revenues you will see that you cannot reduce a deficit¹⁴. And, if you cannot reduce a deficit, you cannot regain confidence.  So, the whole idea is flawed from the very beginning,” said Flassbeck.

　　UNCTAD economist Flassbeck said it will take a bit longer for the recession to hit developing countries. But, when it does, he said there will be severe consequences for the developing and least developed countries.

　　He said nations apparently¹⁷ have not learned the lessons of the 1930s when recession was in full bloom. He said it is frightening to see that nations cannot agree upon a coordinated¹⁸ plan of action for stimulating world growth.

1 bleak   

adj.(天气)阴冷的；凄凉的；暗淡的

参考例句：

• They showed me into a bleak waiting room.他们引我来到一间阴冷的会客室。
• The company's prospects look pretty bleak.这家公司的前景异常暗淡。

2 stagnation   

n. 停滞

参考例句：

• Poor economic policies led to a long period of stagnation and decline. 糟糕的经济政策道致了长时间的经济萧条和下滑。
• Motion is absolute while stagnation is relative. 运动是绝对的，而静止是相对的。

3 stimulating   

adj.有启发性的，能激发人思考的

参考例句：

• shower gel containing plant extracts that have a stimulating effect on the skin 含有对皮肤有益的植物精华的沐浴凝胶
• This is a drug for stimulating nerves. 这是一种兴奋剂。

4 decided   

adj.决定了的，坚决的；明显的，明确的

参考例句：

• This gave them a decided advantage over their opponents.这使他们比对手具有明显的优势。
• There is a decided difference between British and Chinese way of greeting.英国人和中国人打招呼的方式有很明显的区别。

5 fiscal   

adj.财政的，会计的，国库的，国库岁入的

参考例句：

• The increase of taxation is an important fiscal policy.增税是一项重要的财政政策。
• The government has two basic strategies of fiscal policy available.政府有两个可行的财政政策基本战略。

6 stimulus   

n.刺激，刺激物，促进因素，引起兴奋的事物

参考例句：

• Regard each failure as a stimulus to further efforts.把每次失利看成对进一步努力的激励。
• Light is a stimulus to growth in plants.光是促进植物生长的一个因素。

7 outright   

adv.坦率地；彻底地；立即；adj.无疑的；彻底的

参考例句：

• If you have a complaint you should tell me outright.如果你有不满意的事，你应该直率地对我说。
• You should persuade her to marry you outright.你应该彻底劝服她嫁给你。

8 stimulate   

vt.刺激，使兴奋；激励，使…振奋

参考例句：

• Your encouragement will stimulate me to further efforts.你的鼓励会激发我进一步努力。
• Success will stimulate the people for fresh efforts.成功能鼓舞人们去作新的努力。

9 economist   

n.经济学家，经济专家，节俭的人

参考例句：

• He cast a professional economist's eyes on the problem.他以经济学行家的眼光审视这个问题。
• He's an economist who thinks he knows all the answers.他是个经济学家，自以为什么都懂。

10 component   

n.组成部分，成分，元件；adj.组成的，合成的

参考例句：

• Each component is carefully checked before assembly.每个零件在装配前都经过仔细检查。
• Blade and handle are the component parts of a knife.刀身和刀柄是一把刀的组成部分。

11 revival   

n.复兴，复苏，（精力、活力等的）重振

参考例句：

• The period saw a great revival in the wine trade.这一时期葡萄酒业出现了很大的复苏。
• He claimed the housing market was showing signs of a revival.他指出房地产市场正出现复苏的迹象。

12 consensus   

n.(意见等的)一致，一致同意，共识

参考例句：

• Can we reach a consensus on this issue?我们能在这个问题上取得一致意见吗？
• What is the consensus of opinion at the afternoon meeting?下午会议上一致的意见是什么？

13 regain   

vt.重新获得，收复，恢复

参考例句：

• He is making a bid to regain his World No.1 ranking.他正为重登世界排名第一位而努力。
• The government is desperate to regain credibility with the public.政府急于重新获取公众的信任。

14 deficit   

n.亏空，亏损；赤字，逆差

参考例句：

• The directors have reported a deficit of 2.5 million dollars.董事们报告赤字为250万美元。
• We have a great deficit this year.我们今年有很大亏损。

15 deficits   

n.不足额( deficit的名词复数 )；赤字；亏空；亏损

参考例句：

• The Ministry of Finance consistently overestimated its budget deficits. 财政部一贯高估预算赤字。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• Many of the world's farmers are also incurring economic deficits. 世界上许多农民还在遭受经济上的亏损。 来自辞典例句

16 expenditure   

n.(时间、劳力、金钱等)支出；使用，消耗

参考例句：

• The entry of all expenditure is necessary.有必要把一切开支入账。
• The monthly expenditure of our family is four hundred dollars altogether.我们一家的开销每月共计四百元。

17 apparently   

adv.显然地；表面上，似乎

参考例句：

• An apparently blind alley leads suddenly into an open space.山穷水尽，豁然开朗。
• He was apparently much surprised at the news.他对那个消息显然感到十分惊异。

18 coordinated   

adj.协调的

参考例句：

• The sound has to be coordinated with the picture. 声音必须和画面协调一致。
• The numerous existing statutes are complicated and poorly coordinated. 目前繁多的法令既十分复杂又缺乏快调。 来自英汉非文学 - 环境法 - 环境法