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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
With midterms weeks away, candidates and their backers are spending more ad dollars
You can learn a lot about how candidates and their backers think they can win an election by looking at how they spend ad money. Two themes are emerging: crime and abortion2.
STEVE INSKEEP, HOST:
Campaign ad spending tells the story of which messages the parties want you to vote on this fall. Two big issues are abortion and crime. Here's NPR White House correspondent Tamara Keith, who's been watching.
TAMARA KEITH, BYLINE3: The ads running on TV in Ohio's first congressional district tell a story playing out in races all over the country. This race is a toss-up, and the messaging is 2022 textbook. Take this ad from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
(SOUNDBITE OF POLITICAL AD)
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #1: Steve Chabot is obsessed4 with banning abortion. He's voted for extreme bans over and over for decades.
KEITH: Chabot, the Republican incumbent5 - like Republicans up and down the ballot6 - has been getting hit on the issue of abortion ever since the Supreme7 Court's Dobbs decision put the issue front and center. Vriti Jain does strategic messaging at the DCCC. She says abortion is proving to be an extremely galvanizing issue.
VRITI JAIN: And it's really powerful. It hits people really personally. And that's part of why you're seeing it show up on the airwaves across the country.
KEITH: According to AdImpact, Democrats8 nationwide spent more than $60 million on TV ads about abortion in September. That represents about 30% of all Democratic TV ad spending.
DAN CONSTON: It's the only message that they have.
KEITH: Dan Conston is president of the Congressional Leadership Fund, the House Republican super PAC backed by Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy. He says the Dobbs ruling has complicated what should have been a Republican wave election. But Conston says Republicans really aren't responding directly to these abortion-related ads.
CONSTON: We are squarely focused on issues that we think the electorate9 cares most about, which is economic concerns, of which there are an endless number today, and concerns about public safety.
(SOUNDBITE OF POLITICAL AD)
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #2: 2020, murder in Cincinnati at an all-time high.
UNIDENTIFIED REPORTER: Homicides are up 91%.
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #2: And Greg Landsman's response - defund the police.
KEITH: That ad from Conston's group going after Democratic challenger Greg Landsman, a Cincinnati city councilman, is part of a trend in Republican messaging as the midterms get closer. According to AdImpact, Republicans spent more than $33 million on crime-related messaging in September, tripling the number of GOP ads on that issue airing from the month before. But unlike Republicans on abortion, Democratic candidates, including Landsman, are mounting a defense10, with law enforcement officers as validators.
(SOUNDBITE OF POLITICAL AD)
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #3: This ad from Congressman11 Chabot's friends is just wrong.
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #4: Landsman increased police funding by $20 million.
GUY CECIL: When you want to know how candidates think they can win, you look at where they're spending their money.
KEITH: That's Guy Cecil, chairman of Priorities USA, a Democratic outside group that, in addition to spending millions on voter mobilization, is also tracking online ad spending by both parties. He says the amping up of crime-related ads is particularly pronounced in key Senate races in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where Republicans have just been hammering the Democratic candidates.
CECIL: In Wisconsin, 70% of all digital advertising12 right now is focused on crime in the Senate race. Less than 15% of the advertising is actually focused on the economy.
KEITH: Longtime Republican operative Sarah Longwell has been spending time with swing voters this cycle for her podcast, "The Focus Group." She always starts by asking what voters are worried about.
SARAH LONGWELL: The economy comes up first every single time. Crime comes up often.
KEITH: Abortion, not so much. But Longwell says it matters a lot when voters start talking about candidates and who they won't vote for.
LONGWELL: Abortion tends to be the top reason why. And they're all very aware of the candidate's position on abortion, especially if they're really extreme.
KEITH: All of which is to say, get used to seeing more ads online and on TV about crime and abortion.
Tamara Keith, NPR News.
1 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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2 abortion | |
n.流产,堕胎 | |
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3 byline | |
n.署名;v.署名 | |
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4 obsessed | |
adj.心神不宁的,鬼迷心窍的,沉迷的 | |
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5 incumbent | |
adj.成为责任的,有义务的;现任的,在职的 | |
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6 ballot | |
n.(不记名)投票,投票总数,投票权;vi.投票 | |
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7 supreme | |
adj.极度的,最重要的;至高的,最高的 | |
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8 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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9 electorate | |
n.全体选民;选区 | |
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10 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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11 Congressman | |
n.(美)国会议员 | |
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12 advertising | |
n.广告业;广告活动 a.广告的;广告业务的 | |
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