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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Biden used to keep Trump1 mentions to a minimum. Not anymore
In the early part of the Biden administration, there was an unwritten rule: Don't talk about the former guy. But with the midterms around the corner, Donald Trump seems to be back on the tip of President Biden's tongue.
Biden called him "the great MAGA King" in May. In early July he said Trump dismissed and ignored "the forgotten people he promised to help."
After the most recent Jan. 6 committee hearing, Biden went after Trump by name.
"The police were heroes that day," Biden said in a virtual appearance with a law enforcement group. "Donald Trump lacked the courage to act."
This Trump bump comes as the former president is endorsing3 candidates running in this year's midterm elections and as he loudly hints he'd like to be on the ballot4 again himself in 2024.
"The reemergence of the former guy is that he reemerges," said John Anzalone, Biden's pollster. Trump is "the one that is becoming more visible and more contentious5."
Not only is Trump out on the campaign trail, giving speeches and making attention-grabbing endorsements6, but the House Select Committee on January 6th has directed significant attention back to the waning7 days of Trump's presidency8.
Anzalone says calling out Trump is appropriately part of President Biden's midterm message.
"Joe Biden is the leader of the Democratic Party and Donald Trump is the leader of the Republican Party," Anzalone said, getting animated9. "For the leader of the Democratic Party to tell Americans what he is for and what the leader of the Republican Party is against is absolutely normal and expected."
Trump's presence scrambles10 historical norms
With the recent passage of numerous bipartisan bills and a deal among Democrats11 on the Inflation Reduction Act, Democrats expect to have an affirmative "look what we've done" message to run on this fall, in the face of economic headwinds. But it doesn't mean they can or should ignore the elephant in the room, says Democratic strategist Jesse Ferguson.
"Typically, losing presidents ride off into the sunset with dignity," said Ferguson.
Or after eight years of service, they quietly move on to their post-presidency. There is a long history of presidents facing down a tough midterm and running against their predecessors12' policies or legacies13.
But this time is different, because Trump isn't in the rearview mirror.
"President Biden is not running against the former guy, he is setting up a midterm contrast against the current and most likely future leader of the Republican Party," Ferguson said.
Late last month, Trump hinted he would be running for president again, "a lot sooner than people think," while speaking to a convention in Washington, D.C.
After that event, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said he asked Trump not to declare his 2024 candidacy until after the midterms, the implication being that it would be better for Republicans if the midterms were about inflation, immigration, crime and not the polarizing former president.
Trump motivates both Republican and Democratic voters
Senior Democratic strategist Karen Finney says that part of what Biden is trying to do by talking about Trump and Trumpism is prevent Republicans from keeping the former president at arm's length.
"You know it's not just about Trump," she said. "Look at how many candidates in this Republican primary season, whether they got Trump's approval or not, were vying14 for it."
And if there's one thing almost everyone can agree, it's that "nothing motivates voters, both Democrats and Republicans, like Donald Trump," said former Trump campaign consultant15 David Urban.
Faiz Shakir, a top political adviser16 to Bernie Sanders, used almost exactly the same words to describe Trump's effect on voters.
"Nothing propels the Biden coalition17, Democratic voters and the people who voted for him — nothing propels them more than Trump," he said.
Shakir says parts of the Democratic base are feeling lethargic18 and uninspired, frustrated19 that Biden and Democrats haven't made more progress. But then along comes Trump with all his teasing about a 2024 run. Shakir calls it a "gift" for Biden and Democrats.
"The challenge for Biden has been that he hasn't had a foil," said Shakir, referring to Biden's low approval rating, which reflects some of that Democratic lethargy. "You have a stance on Biden one way or another. But what he's trying to make clear is, no, there's a choice. There's a directional choice."
David Urban points to recent polls that show many Democrats want someone other than Biden to run in 2024. Still, he says in a head-to-head matchup with Trump, the same polls still show Biden ahead.
"And so I think [Biden] kind of likes to kind of thump20 his chest about that a bit," said Urban.
Urban says talking more about Trump gives Biden relevance21.
"When people are looking at turning the page and moving on to a new candidate, new future, somebody younger, brighter, shinier, it allows him to say, 'Yeah I'm the guy that beat the guy,'" said Urban.
In a recent interview, Biden was asked about a possible rematch with Trump in 2024. Biden said he wasn't predicting it, but he also "would not be disappointed."
1 trump | |
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭 | |
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2 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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3 endorsing | |
v.赞同( endorse的现在分词 );在(尤指支票的)背面签字;在(文件的)背面写评论;在广告上说本人使用并赞同某产品 | |
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4 ballot | |
n.(不记名)投票,投票总数,投票权;vi.投票 | |
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5 contentious | |
adj.好辩的,善争吵的 | |
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6 endorsements | |
n.背书( endorsement的名词复数 );(驾驶执照上的)违章记录;(公开的)赞同;(通常为名人在广告中对某一产品的)宣传 | |
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7 waning | |
adj.(月亮)渐亏的,逐渐减弱或变小的n.月亏v.衰落( wane的现在分词 );(月)亏;变小;变暗淡 | |
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8 presidency | |
n.总统(校长,总经理)的职位(任期) | |
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9 animated | |
adj.生气勃勃的,活跃的,愉快的 | |
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10 scrambles | |
n.抢夺( scramble的名词复数 )v.快速爬行( scramble的第三人称单数 );攀登;争夺;(军事飞机)紧急起飞 | |
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11 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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12 predecessors | |
n.前任( predecessor的名词复数 );前辈;(被取代的)原有事物;前身 | |
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13 legacies | |
n.遗产( legacy的名词复数 );遗留之物;遗留问题;后遗症 | |
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14 vying | |
adj.竞争的;比赛的 | |
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15 consultant | |
n.顾问;会诊医师,专科医生 | |
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16 adviser | |
n.劝告者,顾问 | |
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17 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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18 lethargic | |
adj.昏睡的,懒洋洋的 | |
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19 frustrated | |
adj.挫败的,失意的,泄气的v.使不成功( frustrate的过去式和过去分词 );挫败;使受挫折;令人沮丧 | |
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20 thump | |
v.重击,砰然地响;n.重击,重击声 | |
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21 relevance | |
n.中肯,适当,关联,相关性 | |
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