英闻天下——501 Experts: China Lacks the Means to Stop Korean War

 A number of leading Chinese observers are issuing words of caution, suggesting the Chinese government doesn't have the ability to stop a war from happening on the Korean peninsula.

CRI's Zhang Shuangfeng has more.

Some observers in the international community have been suggesting China has the ability to stop a war on the Korean Peninsula by putting additional pressure on North Korea.

However, leading Chinese observers are less optimistic about that possibility.

Professor Zhang Liangui is from the CPC Central Committee's Party School.

"China has issued a harsh rebuke¹ to North Korea. But frankly² speaking, we do not have the means to stop any clashes. The countries involved may turn a deaf ear to what China has suggested and act on their own will. As such, China lacks the ability to stop the war from happening."

Dong Xiangrong, a researcher with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, says it is difficult for the Chinese government to alter its current policies towards North Korea.

"China has been putting in a lot of effort toward trying to resolve the issue, and has been effective in helping³ the situation from deteriorating⁴. But in general, we are still miles away from our goal. Unless something significant happens, it will be hard for China to change its current policy towards North Korea, which is no war, no collapse⁵ and nuclear-free."

Professor Zhang Liangui also says there is a very good possibility North Korea may launch missiles soon.

"Based on the current circumstance, it is highly possible that North Korea could launch a long-range missile and start a new round of nuclear tests. Currently, the tension on the Korean peninsula is particularly intense, and a number of countries are on high alert. If North Korea does launch the missile, the U.S, Japan and South Korea will deploy⁶ anti-missile defenses immediately. And this may trigger military conflicts, so everything is hanging by a thread right now."

The Chinese government has been advocating a return to negotiations⁷ through the 6-party framework.

However, both North Korea and the United States have rejected the multi-country mediation⁸ process.

For CRI, I'm Zhang Shuangfeng.

1 rebuke   

v.指责，非难，斥责 [反]praise

参考例句：

• He had to put up with a smart rebuke from the teacher.他不得不忍受老师的严厉指责。
• Even one minute's lateness would earn a stern rebuke.哪怕迟到一分钟也将受到严厉的斥责。

2 frankly   

adv.坦白地，直率地；坦率地说

参考例句：

• To speak frankly, I don't like the idea at all.老实说，我一点也不赞成这个主意。
• Frankly speaking, I'm not opposed to reform.坦率地说，我不反对改革。

3 helping   

n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的，辅助的

参考例句：

• The poor children regularly pony up for a second helping of my hamburger. 那些可怜的孩子们总是要求我把我的汉堡包再给他们一份。
• By doing this, they may at times be helping to restore competition. 这样一来, 他在某些时候,有助于竞争的加强。

4 deteriorating   

恶化，变坏( deteriorate的现在分词 )

参考例句：

• The weather conditions are deteriorating. 天气变得越来越糟。
• I was well aware of the bad morale and the deteriorating factories. 我很清楚，大家情绪低落，各个工厂越搞越坏。

5 collapse   

vi.累倒；昏倒；倒塌；塌陷

参考例句：

• The country's economy is on the verge of collapse.国家的经济已到了崩溃的边缘。
• The engineer made a complete diagnosis of the bridge's collapse.工程师对桥的倒塌做了一次彻底的调查分析。

6 deploy   

v.（军）散开成战斗队形，布置，展开

参考例句：

• The infantry began to deploy at dawn.步兵黎明时开始进入战斗位置。
• The president said he had no intention of deploying ground troops.总统称并不打算部署地面部队。

7 negotiations   

协商( negotiation的名词复数 )； 谈判； 完成（难事）； 通过

参考例句：

• negotiations for a durable peace 为持久和平而进行的谈判
• Negotiations have failed to establish any middle ground. 谈判未能达成任何妥协。

8 mediation   

n.调解

参考例句：

• The dispute was settled by mediation of the third country. 这场争端通过第三国的斡旋而得以解决。
• The dispute was settled by mediation. 经调解使争端得以解决。