-
(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
华盛顿关门的巨大经济成本
WASHINGTON — The U.S. Senate is expected to work on an emergency funding bill this weekend to keep the government operating after its spending authority runs out October 1. The bill would still require approval from the Republican-led House of Representatives, which earlier this week agreed to fund the government only if none of the funds are used to implement2 President Barack Obama’s signature health care law. But even if lawmakers succeed in averting3 a costly4 shutdown, some say the U.S. economy already is paying the price for political dysfunction.
It’s down to the wire again as Washington wrestles5 with another fiscal6 deadline. But even if lawmakers succeed in defusing the latest crisis, the uncertainty7 carries a hefty price tag.
One study suggests that since the last budget impasse8 in 2011 - the market volatility9, hiring delays and reduced consumer demand have shaved about $150 billion from the country’s gross domestic output.
Testifying in Congress this week, economist10 Mark Zandi said that’s equivalent to more than one million jobs. “If political uncertainty had not risen to the degree that it has, the unemployment rate today would still be high, uncomfortably high, but at 6.6 percent [we’re currently at 7.3 percent, it would be 6.6 percent] that would make a meaningful difference to our economy’s performance.”
Washington’s political dysfunction was evident this week when freshman11 Republican senator Ted1 Cruz railed for 21 hours against the health care law to delay a procedural vote. As part of his speech, he read excerpts12 from a children's book.
Fiscal reform advocate Robert Bixby said that’s not a winning formula for Republicans. "If their position is they would not increase the debt ceiling or indeed pass any appropriations13 bills unless Obamacare is repealed14 or defunded, that I think would be viewed by the public as an unreasonable15 demand and I think they would hold Republicans responsible.”
Likely to be even more contentious16 is the coming debate on the debt ceiling. Failure to raise the debt limit will mean the U.S. government could run out of money to pay its debts by October 17 - the consequences of which Mark Zandi says “would be cataclysmic. It would mean higher mortgage rates, higher borrowing costs for businesses, lower stock prices, lower house prices, a full blown recession and there would be no reasonable policy response to it.”
But another leading economist says those claims are greatly exaggerated. Alan Meltzer says the budget debates are necessary and more likely to lead to a compromise.
“There will be consequences, but the consequences will depend upon how long the default goes on. It isn’t going to go on forever and it probably will arouse enough reaction from the public that will, if we don’t get the agreement before, we’ll get it after,” said Meltzer.
The domestic wrangling17 is a big worry for U.S. trading partners. Many countries, especially those in emerging markets are dependent on American consumer demand for their exports. Another political stalemate could erode18 the world's confidence in the U.S. economy, which had been showing modest but steady signs of recovery.
1 ted | |
vt.翻晒,撒,撒开 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
2 implement | |
n.(pl.)工具,器具;vt.实行,实施,执行 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
3 averting | |
防止,避免( avert的现在分词 ); 转移 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
4 costly | |
adj.昂贵的,价值高的,豪华的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
5 wrestles | |
v.(与某人)搏斗( wrestle的第三人称单数 );扭成一团;扭打;(与…)摔跤 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
6 fiscal | |
adj.财政的,会计的,国库的,国库岁入的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
7 uncertainty | |
n.易变,靠不住,不确知,不确定的事物 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
8 impasse | |
n.僵局;死路 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
9 volatility | |
n.挥发性,挥发度,轻快,(性格)反复无常 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
10 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
11 freshman | |
n.大学一年级学生(可兼指男女) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
12 excerpts | |
n.摘录,摘要( excerpt的名词复数 );节选(音乐,电影)片段 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
13 appropriations | |
n.挪用(appropriation的复数形式) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
14 repealed | |
撤销,废除( repeal的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
15 unreasonable | |
adj.不讲道理的,不合情理的,过度的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
16 contentious | |
adj.好辩的,善争吵的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
17 wrangling | |
v.争吵,争论,口角( wrangle的现在分词 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
18 erode | |
v.侵蚀,腐蚀,使...减少、减弱或消失 | |
参考例句: |
|
|