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Egypt Struggles with Economic Problems Intensified1 by Ukraine War
Egypt is in an economic crisis made more severe by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The conflict, now in its second year, has increased food and energy prices.
High inflation, the low exchange value of Egyptian money and unpopular government policies all add to Egypt's problems.
The crisis has pushed many Egyptians out of the middle class. The country's poor — about one-third of the population — are cutting back on basic goods. Many are asking how long they can survive like this.
Hany Hassan has found himself struggling to feed his four young children. Pay from his job at a cafe is buying less and less.
Hassan, who is 43 years old, earns about $110 a month working 12 hours a day seven days a week. "I am scared that one day I won't be able to feed the kids," he said.
Yearly inflation reached 26.5 percent in January, the highest rate in five years. Food prices in urban areas have increased 48 percent.
Many important goods like rice, cooking oil, bread and most recently, eggs, have all doubled in cost in Cairo's supermarkets. The prices of chicken and other meat have almost doubled from a year ago.
The war in Ukraine hit Egypt where it is financially weak. The most populous2 Arab country and world's biggest importer of wheat needs to buy most of its food from other countries.
Egypt's import costs first increased because of higher world prices for things like fuel and wheat that are purchased in dollars. This led to foreign currency shortages, said Callee Davis, an economist3 at Oxford4 Economics Africa, a business advisory5 company based in Britain.
The low exchange value of Egypt's money forced the Central Bank of Egypt to pass policies to preserve the country's foreign reserves. The policies included restrictions6 on imports. That drove inflation even higher, Davis said.
For many Egyptians, difficulties began in 2016 when President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi's government started a reform program. The program aimed to reform Egypt's economy in return for loans from the International Monetary7 Fund (IMF). The program introduced new taxes and included large cuts in state subsidies8 for basic goods.
Western governments and international financial institutions supported the spending cuts. However, they have made life difficult for many Egyptians. El-Sissi has blamed the war in Ukraine for the most recent inflation.
To help poor and middle-class families, the government increased social welfare programs and raised pay for government workers. It also delayed cuts to subsidized bread and planned electricity price increases. The government also created hundreds of government-owned markets that sell basic goods for low prices.
The government received a new loan from the IMF last year, the fourth in six years. The hope is that the $3 billion deal will help Egypt's international and regional partners provide another $14 billion. Possible lenders include wealthy Gulf9 countries.
But Gulf Arab states seem increasingly unwilling10 to help Egypt as they have over the past 10 years.
"We want to help, but we want you also to do your part," said Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed al-Jadaan at the World Economic Forum11 in January.
Egypt has promised to keep the IMF-guided reforms. Those include an exchange rate set by foreign exchange markets and lessening12 the military's hold on the economy.
But Egyptian leaders are facing criticism for their handling of the economy. They have created costly13 infrastructure14 projects, like a new $45 billion capital building, other developments and highways. The government has defended the projects as important for improving living conditions. It also says the projects create jobs for the growing population.
H. A. Hellyer is a political expert at the Royal United Service Institute for Defense15 Studies in London. He said the pressures on the Egyptian economy would be difficult for any government.
"Some good moves have been taken, the question is whether these are sufficient to turn the economic crisis around or not," he said.
Words in This Story
foreign reserves –n. foreign money held by a nation's central bank
subsidy16 — n. government payments aimed at keeping the price of some product or service lower than it would be without the payments
regional — adj. related to an area, within a country or the world, that is separate for some reason
infrastructure — n. structures, such as roads, bridges, ports and airports, that are needed for a modern society
sufficient — adj. enough
1 intensified | |
v.(使)增强, (使)加剧( intensify的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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2 populous | |
adj.人口稠密的,人口众多的 | |
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3 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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4 Oxford | |
n.牛津(英国城市) | |
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5 advisory | |
adj.劝告的,忠告的,顾问的,提供咨询 | |
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6 restrictions | |
约束( restriction的名词复数 ); 管制; 制约因素; 带限制性的条件(或规则) | |
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7 monetary | |
adj.货币的,钱的;通货的;金融的;财政的 | |
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8 subsidies | |
n.补贴,津贴,补助金( subsidy的名词复数 ) | |
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9 gulf | |
n.海湾;深渊,鸿沟;分歧,隔阂 | |
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10 unwilling | |
adj.不情愿的 | |
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11 forum | |
n.论坛,讨论会 | |
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12 lessening | |
减轻,减少,变小 | |
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13 costly | |
adj.昂贵的,价值高的,豪华的 | |
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14 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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15 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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16 subsidy | |
n.补助金,津贴 | |
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