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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Michael Bowman
Washington
09 October 2006
Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez before the United Nations General Assembly, Wednesday Sept. 20, 2006
The war of words between Venezuela and the United States reached new heights last month, when Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez called U.S. President George Bush "the devil" and a "world dictator" in an address to the United Nations General Assembly. But, despite escalating1 diplomatic tensions, the United States remains2 Venezuela's Number-One oil customer, a commercial relationship that appears likely to endure.
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The Venezuelan president stunned3 U.N. diplomats4 with his September 20 address, one day after President Bush spoke5 from the same podium.
He said, "The devil came here yesterday. Right here. And it still smells of sulfur6 today. The hegemonic pretensions7 of the American empire are placing at risk the very survival of the human species."
U.S. legislators from both parties denounced the speech, as well as other Chavez comments, describing Mr. Bush as an alcoholic8 and a "sick man."
The Bush administration has had little comment. "Those are words we do not feel should be responded to, or that are worthy9 of being part of the discourse," said Deborah McCarthy, the U.S. State Department's special coordinator10 for Venezuela.
Hugo Chavez, a self-proclaimed socialist11, is doing more than give colorful anti-American speeches. He is backing Iran's pursuit of nuclear capabilities12, taking sides against Israel in Middle East conflicts, and purchasing billions of dollars in Russian weaponry. He has made Venezuela Cuba's closest ally, openly backed leftist candidates in nations throughout the Americas, and led a campaign to derail a U.S.-proposed hemispheric free trade zone.
Analysts13 say Mr. Chavez is emboldened14 by his country's status as the world's fifth biggest oil exporter, and by oil revenues that have skyrocketed in recent years.
Jose Toro Hardy15 is a former director of Venezuela's state-owned oil company.
He says, "In the last seven years, under President Chavez, Venezuela's oil revenues have been higher than the sum of all the oil revenue accrued16 during all previous governments put together."
A woman watches arrival of an oil tanker17 containing Venezuelan diesel18 fuel sent by President Hugo Chavez's government in Nicaragua, October 7, 2006
And Venezuela's biggest customer, by far, is the United States, which imports about 1.3 million barrels of Venezuelan oil per day. At a price of $60 a barrel, that adds up to annual U.S. petroleum19 purchases of more than $28 billion, about 70 percent of the Venezuelan government's total expenditures20 in 2005.
Days after President Chavez' General Assembly speech, a major U.S. convenience store chain confirmed it would not renew a contract with the Venezuelan-owned retail21 gasoline chain, Citgo. Some Citgo stations have reported a modest drop in business since Mr. Chavez visited the United States.
If bilateral22 relations continue to deteriorate23, would the Bush administration consider a boycott24 of Venezuelan crude? The State Department's Deborah McCarthy downplays that possibility.
"The [oil] market is a private market in the United States, managed by the private sector25. They make decisions, they decide [from] where they want to import," she said. "And they certainly assess risks, costs, etc."
President Chavez has accused the Bush administration of plotting to overthrow26 him, and threatened to cut off oil sales to the United States.
But, such a move would be economic suicide, according to Johns Hopkins University Latin American studies Professor Riordan Roett.
"Venezuela would find out very, very quickly, it has nothing else to export; it [oil] is easiest to export to the United States," noted27 Roett.
Even so, Mr. Chavez has pledged to reduce his country's dependency on U.S. petro-dollars, and shift oil exports toward China. Most analysts, including former Venezuelan petroleum director Jose Toro Hardy, are skeptical28.
He says, "More than 75 percent of Venezuela's proven oil reserves are heavy crude, with high sulfur and metal content. There are very few refineries29 in the world capable of processing this type of crude." He says, " As a matter of fact, in China there are none."
Nevertheless, the Bush administration has already contemplated30 the possibility of a future without Venezuelan crude. In a June report, U.S. investigators31 concluded that, if President Chavez were to cut off oil exports, gasoline prices in the United States would spike32, but only briefly33, until other crude suppliers made up for the gap. The report said the long-term effect on the U.S. economy would be minimal34.
In fact, gasoline prices in the United States rose only moderately during a 2003 strike by Venezuelan oil workers that decimated the country's crude production for a three month period.
Venezuela accounts for up to 15 percent of U.S. crude imports.
In short, the Bush administration says Venezuelan officials are mistaken, if they believe the United States can be intimidated35 by threats of an oil cut-off.
"It is clear that they [Venezuela] depend on us far more than we will ever depend on them," said the State Department's Deborah McCarthy.
Just the same, energy experts say the United States would be wise to reduce its consumption of fossil fuels.
"During the Arab oil embargo36 in the '70s, we [the United States] imported 30 percent of our oil. Today, we import over 60 percent. And that dependence37 is growing," commented Anne Korin, who co-directs the Institute for the Analysis of Global Security in Washington. "And it causes us to be dependent on regimes that we do not like, that do not like us, whose values are very different from our own. And it causes us to be forced to make compromises, in terms of how we would like to deal with certain countries."
Venezuela's total oil reserves have yet to be fully38 certified39, but many experts believe the country could be sitting on the world's largest supply of crude. Paradoxically, Venezuelan oil production has fallen in recent years, from more than three million barrels a day to about 2.5 million. Analysts note that President Chavez fired thousands of the country's most-experienced petroleum technicians and engineers following a 2003 strike, and has reduced investment in Venezuela's oil infrastructure40 to help fund domestic social programs.
1 escalating | |
v.(使)逐步升级( escalate的现在分词 );(使)逐步扩大;(使)更高;(使)更大 | |
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2 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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3 stunned | |
adj. 震惊的,惊讶的 动词stun的过去式和过去分词 | |
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4 diplomats | |
n.外交官( diplomat的名词复数 );有手腕的人,善于交际的人 | |
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5 spoke | |
n.(车轮的)辐条;轮辐;破坏某人的计划;阻挠某人的行动 v.讲,谈(speak的过去式);说;演说;从某种观点来说 | |
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6 sulfur | |
n.硫,硫磺(=sulphur) | |
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7 pretensions | |
自称( pretension的名词复数 ); 自命不凡; 要求; 权力 | |
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8 alcoholic | |
adj.(含)酒精的,由酒精引起的;n.酗酒者 | |
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9 worthy | |
adj.(of)值得的,配得上的;有价值的 | |
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10 coordinator | |
n.协调人 | |
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11 socialist | |
n.社会主义者;adj.社会主义的 | |
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12 capabilities | |
n.能力( capability的名词复数 );可能;容量;[复数]潜在能力 | |
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13 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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14 emboldened | |
v.鼓励,使有胆量( embolden的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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15 hardy | |
adj.勇敢的,果断的,吃苦的;耐寒的 | |
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16 accrued | |
adj.权责已发生的v.增加( accrue的过去式和过去分词 );(通过自然增长)产生;获得;(使钱款、债务)积累 | |
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17 tanker | |
n.油轮 | |
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18 diesel | |
n.柴油发动机,内燃机 | |
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19 petroleum | |
n.原油,石油 | |
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20 expenditures | |
n.花费( expenditure的名词复数 );使用;(尤指金钱的)支出额;(精力、时间、材料等的)耗费 | |
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21 retail | |
v./n.零售;adv.以零售价格 | |
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22 bilateral | |
adj.双方的,两边的,两侧的 | |
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23 deteriorate | |
v.变坏;恶化;退化 | |
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24 boycott | |
n./v.(联合)抵制,拒绝参与 | |
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25 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
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26 overthrow | |
v.推翻,打倒,颠覆;n.推翻,瓦解,颠覆 | |
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27 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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28 skeptical | |
adj.怀疑的,多疑的 | |
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29 refineries | |
精炼厂( refinery的名词复数 ) | |
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30 contemplated | |
adj. 预期的 动词contemplate的过去分词形式 | |
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31 investigators | |
n.调查者,审查者( investigator的名词复数 ) | |
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32 spike | |
n.长钉,钉鞋;v.以大钉钉牢,使...失效 | |
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33 briefly | |
adv.简单地,简短地 | |
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34 minimal | |
adj.尽可能少的,最小的 | |
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35 intimidated | |
v.恐吓;威胁adj.害怕的;受到威胁的 | |
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36 embargo | |
n.禁运(令);vt.对...实行禁运,禁止(通商) | |
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37 dependence | |
n.依靠,依赖;信任,信赖;隶属 | |
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38 fully | |
adv.完全地,全部地,彻底地;充分地 | |
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39 certified | |
a.经证明合格的;具有证明文件的 | |
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40 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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