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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Beirut
03 February 2007
Last week's violence in Lebanon, after two months of opposition1 protests, were a sign of how hostile the atmosphere has become. A new group is calling for more reasoned dialogue between the opposition and the government, but analysts3 say the crisis will not really end until the problems that led to it are solved. VOA Correspondent Challiss McDonough has more from Beirut.
confrontations4 erupt between government and opposition supporters in Beirut, 25 Jan 2007" hspace="2" src="/upimg/allimg/070519/0943090.jpg" width="195" vspace="2" border="0" /> |
Two Lebanese pro-government supporters, extinguish a burning car after confrontations erupt between government and opposition supporters in Beirut, 25 Jan 2007 |
Each side has its own television stations, radio stations and newspapers, telling its own version of the truth. At times, reports on competing TV stations do no even seem to be about the same country.
Each side also has sponsored massive media campaigns, blanketing the capital, Beirut, and the countryside with posters and billboards7.
The anti-Syrian bloc8, known as March 14th, has put up pictures of slain9 politicians, including former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, bearing the slogan, "We Will Not Forget." After the war with Israel in June and July, Hezbollah erected10 hundreds of billboards and posters touting11 what it called its "Divine Victory."
As the opposition protests started, new billboards appeared in English, French and Arabic saying, "I Love Life." That was March 14, taking a swipe at what they considered Hezbollah's culture of death and martyrdom. The opposition countered by turning that slogan around; their new posters read, "I Love Life - With Dignity, or I Love Life - Undictated."
The latest entry in the poster war is calling itself the March 11 movement. The name refers to Lebanon's date-themed political divide. The opposition are called March 8th, and the government side is known as March 14th. March 11 is halfway12 in between.
One of the new group's slogans is, "One Plus One Equals Lebanon." Its posters are all white. The group says Lebanon has enough political colors. Group leaders say they are neutral, and they are urging Lebanon's feuding13 parties to come together.
March 11 is trying so hard not to personalize its campaign, that its spokesman asked to be identified only by his first name, Fadi. He says the point is not to criticize the two sides, but to encourage them to find common ground.
"We think that this (one) party has done a very good thing for the country, and this (the other) party has done also a very good thing for the country. But the way they are communicating is very bad. We're saying that, 'hey people, there is another way. Find another way to communicate.' It's about communication, it's not about doing good and doing bad.... The way they're communicating, in the street and on TV, that's taking the country to a place where no one wants to be, you know?," he said.
The group's billboards and posters have gotten people's attention, but many are skeptical14 about whether the group is really neutral, or whether it can make a difference.
The editor-in-chief of the Daily Star newspaper, Jamil Mroue, says he believes there is a silent majority in Lebanon, but that it lacks organization and traction15. "If anything, by adopting this slogan, [it] suggests a level of desperation. Here we are just finding -- desperately16 trying to find a way to say, there is a middle ground, and sort of divide your dates, so to speak," he said.
But he acknowledges that the level of political debate has degenerated17 to alarming levels. "We have degenerated from soundbite to mind-bite, if you like, and from mind-bite to nose-bite, and from nose-bite to eye-poke. Basically, that's where we are. When the original flow of soundbites did not serve, it degenerated all the way to eye-poke," he said.
Lebanon's entire modern history has been a delicate and often unsuccessful balancing act among its complex web of religious and ethnic18 groups. No system of government has really ever worked well; the failings of the old system led to a 15-year civil war, and the failings of the deal that ended the war have resulted in this current crisis.
Political analyst2 Amal Saad-Ghorayeb of the Carnegie Endowment's Middle East Center says Lebanon must resolve the structural19 weaknesses that have made it what she calls a battleground for foreign interests. "Any solution to the current crisis has to address its underlying20 causes. The events we're witnessing today are merely byproducts, reactions and so on, of a much deeper political malaise, which is essentially21 that there is no state," she said.
She says Lebanon's entire political culture has to change. "It isn't simply an issue of this entire sectarian spoil-sharing system has to be done away with. I don't think that's the main problem. I think the main problem is the basis upon which people vote, for example, and the extent to which current political leaders, who all represent their sects22, hold so much sway over their communities.... and because of the electoral system we have, it's basically a winner-take-all system, which does not leave any room for alternative political groups to emerge. That has to change," she said.
At this stage, the political debate in Lebanon is focused on the composition of the government, rather than on its powers or role. Little of the public dialogue deals with core issues like the electoral law, service delivery, tax reform or the balance of powers between branches of government.
Jamil Mroue of the Daily Star says the current system has constitutional chasms23 that can lead, and have led, to unresolvable deadlock24. "All of these things require a lot of deliberation, and a lot of vertical25 specialization. You need constitutionalists, not amateurs and orators26 to do that. At this stage, it's all being done by soundbite. Again, soundbite intensifies27 the vacuum, which will be filled by further adrenaline, until a certain stage where this adrenaline spills into blood, which is where we are now," he said.
Last week, several people were killed in street fighting that erupted between government supporters and opposition members. The clashes shocked some, at least in their ferocity, but, for many, the violence was not entirely28 unexpected, given the growing levels of hostility29.
Both sides seem to have stepped back from the brink30, at least for a while, but there are serious concerns about what could happen on February 14th, the anniversary of Rafik Hariri's murder. Last year, government supporters staged a huge rally to mark the anniversary next to Hariri's grave in Martyr's Square. But that is right next to the opposition protesters' tent camp, and there is clear potential for more trouble. A flurry of diplomatic activity is now aimed at reaching some kind of deal before that date.
But it is also clear that whatever deal finally ends this crisis will only be the beginning of the journey toward a much more elusive31 solution to Lebanon's deeper systemic troubles.
1 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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2 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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3 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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4 confrontations | |
n.对抗,对抗的事物( confrontation的名词复数 ) | |
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5 maze | |
n.迷宫,八阵图,混乱,迷惑 | |
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6 patriotic | |
adj.爱国的,有爱国心的 | |
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7 billboards | |
n.广告牌( billboard的名词复数 ) | |
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8 bloc | |
n.集团;联盟 | |
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9 slain | |
杀死,宰杀,杀戮( slay的过去分词 ); (slay的过去分词) | |
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10 ERECTED | |
adj. 直立的,竖立的,笔直的 vt. 使 ... 直立,建立 | |
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11 touting | |
v.兜售( tout的现在分词 );招揽;侦查;探听赛马情报 | |
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12 halfway | |
adj.中途的,不彻底的,部分的;adv.半路地,在中途,在半途 | |
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13 feuding | |
vi.长期不和(feud的现在分词形式) | |
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14 skeptical | |
adj.怀疑的,多疑的 | |
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15 traction | |
n.牵引;附着摩擦力 | |
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16 desperately | |
adv.极度渴望地,绝望地,孤注一掷地 | |
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17 degenerated | |
衰退,堕落,退化( degenerate的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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18 ethnic | |
adj.人种的,种族的,异教徒的 | |
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19 structural | |
adj.构造的,组织的,建筑(用)的 | |
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20 underlying | |
adj.在下面的,含蓄的,潜在的 | |
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21 essentially | |
adv.本质上,实质上,基本上 | |
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22 sects | |
n.宗派,教派( sect的名词复数 ) | |
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23 chasms | |
裂缝( chasm的名词复数 ); 裂口; 分歧; 差别 | |
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24 deadlock | |
n.僵局,僵持 | |
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25 vertical | |
adj.垂直的,顶点的,纵向的;n.垂直物,垂直的位置 | |
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26 orators | |
n.演说者,演讲家( orator的名词复数 ) | |
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27 intensifies | |
n.(使)增强, (使)加剧( intensify的名词复数 )v.(使)增强, (使)加剧( intensify的第三人称单数 ) | |
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28 entirely | |
ad.全部地,完整地;完全地,彻底地 | |
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29 hostility | |
n.敌对,敌意;抵制[pl.]交战,战争 | |
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30 brink | |
n.(悬崖、河流等的)边缘,边沿 | |
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31 elusive | |
adj.难以表达(捉摸)的;令人困惑的;逃避的 | |
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