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Experts Say Political Reforms Needed for Afghanistan's Stability
U.S. and NATO combat forces are set to leave Afghanistan by 2014. Afghanistan's neighbors and Western countries are pledging their commitment to the country's security and economic stability, while allowing the country to take ownership of its economic future. But some Washington-based analysts1 say that Afghanistan also needs some political reforms.
During a recent visit to Turkey, Afghan President Hamid Karzai warned that there will not be any hope for peace in his country without help from its neighbors in fighting terrorist groups. The Istanbul conference, hosted by Turkey and Afghanistan, involved top diplomats2 from the region, and the west.
The United States is working with its partners to build what's being called a "New Silk Road" to embed3 Afghanistan in the economic life of the region. The plan aims to boost trade in the region by linking Central Asia's roads and railways with Pakistan, Afghanistan and India.
"The bottom line is, you can't make Afghanistan a New Silk Road unless you stabilize4 the country and stabilize the politics," noted5 Michael O'Hanlon, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington. "So all these visions for the future are sort of getting ahead of the immediate6 job at hand which is to continue to stabilize Afghanistan."
O'Hanlon, who specializes in national security and defense7 policy, says the troop drawdown policy is reasonably sketched8 out, but the harder part is to strengthen the Afghan political system.
"2014 is also the year that President Karzai has to step down. We need to help Afghans have some meaningful way to choose who is going to replace him. Unfortunately, the Afghan constitution, for which my country has some responsibility, creates a very strong President and weak political parties, weak Parliament, weak alternative centers of political influence. And that leaves you poorly prepared for a presidential election where the incumbent9 cannot run," O'Hanlon noted.
Some analysts warn the 2014 elections will be a "disaster," if the widespread fraud alleged10 in the last elections is repeated. They say there must be an agenda for serious reforms to put Afghanistan's government on a sustainable path.
"The justice system is ... the attorney general is either in the hands of President Karzai or it is an incredibly weak justice system. So there has got to be greater checks and balances so there is some accountability within the system and so that people can channel some of their grievances11. Those are some of the minimal12 reforms that have to happen. There has got to be a way through creating checks and balances through more decentralization of the state to bring more voices, to bring more inclusivity and bring more accountability to the system," said Caroline Wadhams, who is with the Center for American Progress.
At this point the United States and the international community intend to keep funding Afghanistan's efforts to build its infrastructure13 and provide other basic services to its citizens. But if security continues to deteriorate14 beyond 2014, these plans could be derailed.
There may be some violence still after 2014, but regional and western countries are supporting an Afghan-led reconciliation15 process that will ensure a stable and democratic Afghanistan.
1 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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2 diplomats | |
n.外交官( diplomat的名词复数 );有手腕的人,善于交际的人 | |
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3 embed | |
vt.把…嵌(埋、插)入,扎牢;使深留脑中 | |
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4 stabilize | |
vt.(使)稳定,使稳固,使稳定平衡;vi.稳定 | |
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5 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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6 immediate | |
adj.立即的;直接的,最接近的;紧靠的 | |
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7 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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8 sketched | |
v.草拟(sketch的过去式与过去分词形式) | |
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9 incumbent | |
adj.成为责任的,有义务的;现任的,在职的 | |
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10 alleged | |
a.被指控的,嫌疑的 | |
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11 grievances | |
n.委屈( grievance的名词复数 );苦衷;不满;牢骚 | |
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12 minimal | |
adj.尽可能少的,最小的 | |
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13 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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14 deteriorate | |
v.变坏;恶化;退化 | |
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15 reconciliation | |
n.和解,和谐,一致 | |
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