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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Europe Warily1 Watches US 'Fiscal2 Cliff' Talks
But it has been a turbulent 12 months for Europe - and German Chancellor3 Angela Merkel ended the year on a somber4 note, warning that the coming year will be even more difficult.
“The reforms that we've introduced are beginning to have an impact," she said. "Nevertheless we need to have further continued patience. The crisis is far from over.”
Her speech may have dampened year-end celebrations - but she has good reason to be cautious, says Spyros Economides of the London School of Economics.
“There’s an election in Germany in about 10 months’ time and that means that nothing drastic can really happen before that election cycle is closed," he said. "If Angela Merkel were to win, I think you’d see a slightly more assertive5 Germany saying ‘well now we have to make quite big changes to European institutions.’”
While not a member of the euro currency, Britain is also trying to drive through changes in Europe. Many lawmakers in Prime Minister David Cameron’s own party want Britain to leave the EU altogether. In his end-of-year speech, Cameron also struck a cautionary tone.
"Britain is in a global race to succeed today. It is race with countries like China, India and Indonesia; a race for the jobs and opportunities of the future," he said. "So when people say we can slow down on cutting our debts, we are saying no."
Debts continue to drag down Spain’s economy. Bankia, which had already been rescued once by the state, is now getting an EU bailout - but it will cost 350,000 savers and pensioners6 their investments.
Spain’s Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said the Spanish state finances had at least survived 2012.
"Is avoiding a bailout the greatest achievement of the year? No. I think the most important thing this year has been to change course, correct the direction of economic policy,” he said.
Sony Kapoor of the economic analyst7 group Re-Define says such talk is complacent8.
“The growth prospects9 have never looked worse," Kapoor said. "Unemployment is at record levels and the political space and political capital that is available to handle these increasing economic problems is actually shrinking.”
European politics is about to witness the return of an old face, as former Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi - forced to resign in 2011 at the height of the debt crisis - plans to lead the center-right campaign into the February general elections. He’ll face incumbent10 Mario Monti.
But Europe’s recovery could be completely derailed if the U.S. Congress fails to reach a deal on government borrowing, and falls off the so-called ‘fiscal cliff’ - says Majoj Ladwa of London brokerage firm, TJ Markets.
"If the situation isn't resolved, equity11 markets could start pricing in the negative aspects of this whole episode, and that is the U.S. economy potentially going into recession," Ladwa said.
Analysts12 say the old adage13 still rings true - that when the U.S. sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold.
1 warily | |
adv.留心地 | |
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2 fiscal | |
adj.财政的,会计的,国库的,国库岁入的 | |
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3 chancellor | |
n.(英)大臣;法官;(德、奥)总理;大学校长 | |
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4 somber | |
adj.昏暗的,阴天的,阴森的,忧郁的 | |
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5 assertive | |
adj.果断的,自信的,有冲劲的 | |
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6 pensioners | |
n.领取退休、养老金或抚恤金的人( pensioner的名词复数 ) | |
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7 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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8 complacent | |
adj.自满的;自鸣得意的 | |
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9 prospects | |
n.希望,前途(恒为复数) | |
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10 incumbent | |
adj.成为责任的,有义务的;现任的,在职的 | |
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11 equity | |
n.公正,公平,(无固定利息的)股票 | |
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12 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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13 adage | |
n.格言,古训 | |
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