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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Republicans confront (or sidestep) abuse accusations1 against midterm candidates
A recent ad from Gary Black, a Republican Senate candidate in Georgia, opens with a message on the screen: "Imagine what Democrats4 would do to Herschel Walker if he becomes the Republican nominee5."
Meanwhile, a voter settles into their sofa and turns on the TV, which plays a hypothetical Democratic attack ad: "Did you know Herschel's ex-wife accused him of, quote, 'physically6 abusive and extremely threatening behavior?' " a voice asks. "That she desperately7 sought a protective order after Walker threatened to kill her?"
Black's ad is attacking Walker for his alleged8 violence. But the ultimate framing here is about whether he can win and how Democrats will attack him in a general election bid against Sen. Raphael Warnock. Indeed, the ad ends with a lengthy9 cut of NBC's Chuck Todd saying that Warnock, a Democrat3, would be better off running against Walker.
It's emblematic10 of political calculations in multiple congressional races nationwide in which Republican candidates are accused of past violence and abuse.
The party, voters and candidates themselves are reacting to allegations in different ways
Walker has the endorsements12 of both former President Donald Trump13 and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.
Axios' Jonathan Swan asked McConnell this month about how he did the calculus14 to endorse11 Walker despite the abuse accusations.
McConnell responded, "The way I always do: a variety of different considerations. Every candidate has flaws and assets. This candidate has a lot of assets and is very competitive and has a great chance of winning."
Here, too, it came down to electability.
In a December interview, also with Axios, Walker did not deny his ex-wife's allegations. He also has written and spoken openly about his struggle with dissociative identity disorder15, saying it has caused him to have periods of time he does not remember.
All of that may soften16 the allegations against Walker for voters, according to Georgia Republican strategist Jay Williams.
"People are accusing him of stuff he disclosed in his own book," he said. "So, I think everybody knows he's had some struggles with mental health and mental wellness, and I do believe that people are going to probably give him a pass. I don't think that this is activity he's regularly involved with now."
Walker does, however, deny two other women's allegations of threats and harassment17, for which he was never arrested or charged. Black's ad highlights these allegations as well.
Williams, the Republican strategist, also noted18 that Warnock's ex-wife accused him of running over her foot with his car. The Democratic senator denies this, and first responders found no evident injury.
Walker has some advantages, says Williams. One is his status as a University of Georgia football hero and NFL star.
Simple partisanship19 is an advantage for candidates facing ugly allegations
"Literally20, you could put two potted plants against each other," Williams said. "One of them could be a potted plant against Warnock, or Warnock could be a potted plant against Herschel. Democrats are going to vote for whoever is in that spot, and Republicans are going to vote for whoever is in their spot."
Not all candidates stick around after being accused of ugly behavior. Sean Parnell was endorsed21 by Trump in Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate race, but Parnell dropped out after he lost a custody22 battle in which his ex-wife accused him of abusing her and their children. Parnell denied the accusations.
Meanwhile, Senate candidate Eric Greitens of Missouri is pushing forward in his race for the seat currently held by retiring GOP Sen. Roy Blunt. Greitens' ex-wife recently alleged that he abused both her and their children.
That's on top of past allegations that he blackmailed24 a woman with whom he had an affair. Those allegations ended his governorship.
Axios' Swan also asked McConnell about Greitens.
"This is a man accused of tying a woman up, blindfolding25 her, taking nude26 photographs of her for the purposes of blackmail23, then coercing27 her into sexual acts," Swan said. "Do you think he's electable?"
"I think the voters in the Missouri primary would take all of that into account," McConnell responded.
The party is clearly split on how to respond. Sen. Josh Hawley, R-Mo., has called on Greitens to drop out: "If you hit a woman or a child, you belong in handcuffs, not the United States Senate."
A candidate may defiantly28 run against abuse allegations
Greitens, for his part, has tied the accusations into his self-portrayal as an anti-establishment Republican.
He took on a sort of Trumpian defiance29 in a March video, claiming that the accusations are part of a conspiracy30 by McConnell and Karl Rove, a former adviser31 to President George W. Bush:
"We are no longer going to allow you not just to attack me and attack my kids, but to destroy this country, and that's what you're doing. You're making life hard for millions of families around this country by cooperating with the left, by stabbing President Trump in the back, by stabbing the people of America in the back, and we're not going to stand for it anymore."
Recent polling suggests that the accusations have eliminated Greitens' lead but that he nevertheless remains32 competitive in Missouri's Republican primary.
One other candidate accused of abuse is former Trump aide Max Miller33, running in Ohio for an open U.S. House seat. Miller is accused of abusing ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham — another former Trump aide — including pushing her against a wall and slapping her. He denies this and has filed suit against Grisham for defamation34.
Either way, Miller still has a good chance of winning, says David B. Cohen, a professor at the Bliss35 Institute of Applied36 Politics at the University of Akron.
"As the district is currently drawn37, it's a plus-14 Republican district," he said. "So I think that the accusations against Miller from Stephanie Grisham, I just — I don't think any of it's going to make an impact on whether he wins the race."
Given that voters, party leaders and candidates themselves have responded differently to different allegations of abuse, there's no unified38 theory of how those accusations affect a Republican campaign — except, perhaps, this summation39 from Cohen: "What was once unacceptable and a career killer40 in politics is not necessarily a career killer anymore."
To Cohen, that's far more true for Republicans than for Democrats. As he put it, "If there was no difference [between] the Democratic and Republican party, Al Franken would still be a senator."
And to Cohen, it all ties back to Trump, a man accused of many instances of sexual misconduct and abuse, all of which he denies.
"I kind of think of it as the pre-Access Hollywood world and the post-Access Hollywood world," he said. "Anybody with a pulse that was following politics in 2016 thought that the Access Hollywood tape would sink Donald Trump's candidacy. Trump proved that you could win even with legitimate41 serious questions about a candidate's moral character and with legitimate accusations of sexual assault."
For Trump, winning is everything, and arguments like the one in the Gary Black ad, linking abuse allegations to electability, are a sign that he's not alone.
1 accusations | |
n.指责( accusation的名词复数 );指控;控告;(被告发、控告的)罪名 | |
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2 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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3 democrat | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士;民主党党员 | |
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4 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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5 nominee | |
n.被提名者;被任命者;被推荐者 | |
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6 physically | |
adj.物质上,体格上,身体上,按自然规律 | |
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7 desperately | |
adv.极度渴望地,绝望地,孤注一掷地 | |
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8 alleged | |
a.被指控的,嫌疑的 | |
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9 lengthy | |
adj.漫长的,冗长的 | |
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10 emblematic | |
adj.象征的,可当标志的;象征性 | |
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11 endorse | |
vt.(支票、汇票等)背书,背署;批注;同意 | |
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12 endorsements | |
n.背书( endorsement的名词复数 );(驾驶执照上的)违章记录;(公开的)赞同;(通常为名人在广告中对某一产品的)宣传 | |
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13 trump | |
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭 | |
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14 calculus | |
n.微积分;结石 | |
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15 disorder | |
n.紊乱,混乱;骚动,骚乱;疾病,失调 | |
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16 soften | |
v.(使)变柔软;(使)变柔和 | |
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17 harassment | |
n.骚扰,扰乱,烦恼,烦乱 | |
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18 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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19 Partisanship | |
n. 党派性, 党派偏见 | |
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20 literally | |
adv.照字面意义,逐字地;确实 | |
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21 endorsed | |
vt.& vi.endorse的过去式或过去分词形式v.赞同( endorse的过去式和过去分词 );在(尤指支票的)背面签字;在(文件的)背面写评论;在广告上说本人使用并赞同某产品 | |
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22 custody | |
n.监护,照看,羁押,拘留 | |
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23 blackmail | |
n.讹诈,敲诈,勒索,胁迫,恫吓 | |
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24 blackmailed | |
胁迫,尤指以透露他人不体面行为相威胁以勒索钱财( blackmail的过去式 ) | |
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25 blindfolding | |
v.(尤指用布)挡住(某人)的视线( blindfold的现在分词 );蒙住(某人)的眼睛;使不理解;蒙骗 | |
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26 nude | |
adj.裸体的;n.裸体者,裸体艺术品 | |
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27 coercing | |
v.迫使做( coerce的现在分词 );强迫;(以武力、惩罚、威胁等手段)控制;支配 | |
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28 defiantly | |
adv.挑战地,大胆对抗地 | |
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29 defiance | |
n.挑战,挑衅,蔑视,违抗 | |
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30 conspiracy | |
n.阴谋,密谋,共谋 | |
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31 adviser | |
n.劝告者,顾问 | |
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32 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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33 miller | |
n.磨坊主 | |
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34 defamation | |
n.诽谤;中伤 | |
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35 bliss | |
n.狂喜,福佑,天赐的福 | |
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36 applied | |
adj.应用的;v.应用,适用 | |
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37 drawn | |
v.拖,拉,拔出;adj.憔悴的,紧张的 | |
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38 unified | |
(unify 的过去式和过去分词); 统一的; 统一标准的; 一元化的 | |
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39 summation | |
n.总和;最后辩论 | |
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40 killer | |
n.杀人者,杀人犯,杀手,屠杀者 | |
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41 legitimate | |
adj.合法的,合理的,合乎逻辑的;v.使合法 | |
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