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Hot, dry conditions scorch1 Kansas wheat — putting crops and farmers at risk
Drought is likely to cut wheat harvests by one-third in Kansas. Declines in the country's top wheat producing state are likely to mean higher prices for flour, bread and pasta.
STEVE INSKEEP, HOST:
Hot, dry conditions are scorching3 the wheat crop in Kansas. Here's Nebraska Public Media's Elizabeth Rembert.
ELIZABETH REMBERT, BYLINE4: Usually, Kansas is known for its fields of waist-high golden wheat. But this year, the blistering5 conditions have withered6 some of the crop into short, patchy straw. Standing7 in one of his fields in northwest Kansas, Chris Tanner wonders if it'll even make it through harvest.
CHRIS TANNER: I mean, like, this head down here, there's going to be nothing in it. It'll blow out the back of the combine. You can see the seeds kind of exposed there. It'll shatter out even before we get here.
REMBERT: It's fields like these leading industry groups to predict a 100 million bushel drop in Kansas' wheat harvest this year. That's 30% less than last year's harvest. Kansas is one of the country's top wheat-producing states, so a smaller crop could make a dent8. Joseph Glauber with the International Food Policy Research Institute says the timing9 is unfortunate.
JOSEPH GLAUBER: Wheat was tight to begin with, all of a sudden. Ukraine has, you know, anywhere from 5 to 7 million tons of last year's crop that normally would have been marketed by now that's stuck inside the country. So you look at the wheat market. Then you think, OK, well, who can make up this grain?
REMBERT: Well, maybe not Kansas. And Kansas wheat farmers will likely miss out on profiting from historic prices. Wheat's asking price has shot up 50% this year. A 100 million bushel drop works out to a $1 billion loss for Kansas farmers. Here's Chris Tanner again.
TANNER: I don't know. Prices are good. But if you don't have anything to sell, it doesn't really matter what the prices are, so...
REMBERT: It's a double whammy because high fertilizer and fuel prices make it so expensive to grow crops lately. After all, it takes more than just sunshine and water. Let's run the numbers.
TANNER: Just throw 50 bucks10 out there for rent. I said I put a hundred pounds of fertilizer out. Well, right now current price of fertilizer is a little over a dollar a pound. So there's a hundred and fifty dollars. Now, your herbicide expense is going to be about $10. Harvest expense - approximately $40 an acre. Drilling expense - $20 an acre.
REMBERT: So he's shelled out at least $220. This field usually raises as much as 50 bushels an acre. With the drought, Tanner thinks he'll be lucky to get 20 this year. Even with wheat fetching about $11 a bushel, he'd lose money on that field.
TANNER: And see, we've rapidly wound up in the hole, so...
REMBERT: Farmers need a solid harvest to balance expenses. The drought's threatening that bottom line and could push wheat prices even higher. Bill Lapp is an agricultural economist11 in Omaha.
BILL LAPP: We're going to have the smallest - the hard red winter wheat crop since 1963. It's made a bad situation worse. And, you know, the cure for high prices, of course, is high prices.
REMBERT: Lapp says bread prices have been ticking up over the past year. A smaller harvest could push up prices to consumers for everything wheat is used in. Chris Tanner says coming up short in the face of global wheat scarcity12 isn't just a missed paycheck for Kansas farmers. It's personally disappointing.
TANNER: Right now the world is in desperate need of wheat, and we want to do as best of a job as we can to feed them. But we can only do what Mother Nature's allowing right now.
REMBERT: And for now, Mother Nature's holding back Kansas farmers from helping13 with the global wheat supply.
For NPR News, I'm Elizabeth Rembert.
(SOUNDBITE OF SWEEPS' "SUNDAY BLUNTS")
1 scorch | |
v.烧焦,烤焦;高速疾驶;n.烧焦处,焦痕 | |
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2 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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3 scorching | |
adj. 灼热的 | |
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4 byline | |
n.署名;v.署名 | |
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5 blistering | |
adj.酷热的;猛烈的;使起疱的;可恶的v.起水疱;起气泡;使受暴晒n.[涂料] 起泡 | |
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6 withered | |
adj. 枯萎的,干瘪的,(人身体的部分器官)因病萎缩的或未发育良好的 动词wither的过去式和过去分词形式 | |
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7 standing | |
n.持续,地位;adj.永久的,不动的,直立的,不流动的 | |
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8 dent | |
n.凹痕,凹坑;初步进展 | |
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9 timing | |
n.时间安排,时间选择 | |
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10 bucks | |
n.雄鹿( buck的名词复数 );钱;(英国十九世纪初的)花花公子;(用于某些表达方式)责任v.(马等)猛然弓背跃起( buck的第三人称单数 );抵制;猛然震荡;马等尥起后蹄跳跃 | |
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11 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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12 scarcity | |
n.缺乏,不足,萧条 | |
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13 helping | |
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的 | |
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