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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Alisha Ryu
Nairobi
17 October 2006
Western analysts2 and diplomats3 are urging Somalia's secular4 interim5 government in Baidoa and its Islamist rival in Mogadishu not to boycott6 the next round of peace talks. The talks are scheduled at the end of this month in Khartoum, Sudan.
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Observers say they fear rising tensions between Somalia's weak-Ethiopian-backed transitional government and Islamists are quickly reaching a point, where it may be difficult to avert7 a conflict.
Earlier this month, the Islamists declared war on neighboring Ethiopia, accusing Addis Ababa of sending troops to help government forces briefly8 seize Buur Hakaba, a town controlled by pro-Islamist fighters.
Since then, there have been reports of clashes between pro-government militias10 and Islamist fighters in the port city of Kismayo and near Bu'aale, 350 kilometers south of Baidoa, where the interim government is based.
Relations deteriorated11 further on Sunday, when residents of the southern Somali town of Dinsor reported that well-armed Ethiopian troops, accompanied government forces, briefly took control of that town.
Militiamen of the Islamic Court in Mogadishu patrol the streets of Mogadishu
Islamic court leaders in Mogadishu, who took power in the capital from factional leaders four-and-a-half months ago, say the government's military incursions are in violation12 of a deal reached during an earlier round of peace talks in Khartoum. The deal recognized each other's existence and promised not to make any military moves against one another.
But Nairobi-based regional analyst1 Matt Bryden says the Islamic courts, accused by Somalia's interim government and Ethiopia of having ties to al-Qaida, have provoked fear by trying to quickly expand their control.
"The courts have been expanding steadily13 and have also moved their forces in response to the Ethiopian deployment," he said. "So, I think there is a risk now that, as these forces maneuver14 in closer and closer to one another, that we are going to see an unintentional escalation15 or maybe even a deliberate provocation16 from one side or another. There is a real risk of it coming to a head in the immediate17 future."
Bryden says the only way to resolve the standoff is for the Islamists and interim government officials to re-engage in dialogue at Arab League-sponsored talks in Khartoum.
"I think it is a matter of urgency that the two sides prepare their programs for the next round of peace talks, scheduled for October 30, and on that date, the mediators push for a security protocol18 that would stipulate19 the disengagement of forces and some kind of international supervision," he said.
Italy's envoy20 to Somalia, Mario Rafaelli, says the radicals21 inside the courts are using the threat of an Ethiopian invasion to strengthen their grip on the Islamic militia9.
"You know, the biggest card for the radicals [is] to say that they can be attacked by foreign troops, particularly Ethiopia," he said. "So, of course, the lack of dialogue between the two sides was helpful for these people in order to go on with their agenda. So, there is a need for a dialogue to help the moderates inside [the courts]."
Ali Mohamed Gedi (file photo)
On Sunday, the speaker of parliament in Baidoa, Sharif Hassan Sheikh Adan, resigned as the government's chief negotiator at the talks. Parliament members tell VOA the speaker quit after a long-running feud22 with Prime Minister Ali Mohamed Gedi, who strongly opposes the talks.
Neither the speaker nor the prime minister could be reached for comment.
1 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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2 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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3 diplomats | |
n.外交官( diplomat的名词复数 );有手腕的人,善于交际的人 | |
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4 secular | |
n.牧师,凡人;adj.世俗的,现世的,不朽的 | |
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5 interim | |
adj.暂时的,临时的;n.间歇,过渡期间 | |
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6 boycott | |
n./v.(联合)抵制,拒绝参与 | |
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7 avert | |
v.防止,避免;转移(目光、注意力等) | |
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8 briefly | |
adv.简单地,简短地 | |
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9 militia | |
n.民兵,民兵组织 | |
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10 militias | |
n.民兵组织,民兵( militia的名词复数 ) | |
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11 deteriorated | |
恶化,变坏( deteriorate的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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12 violation | |
n.违反(行为),违背(行为),侵犯 | |
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13 steadily | |
adv.稳定地;不变地;持续地 | |
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14 maneuver | |
n.策略[pl.]演习;v.(巧妙)控制;用策略 | |
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15 escalation | |
n.扩大,增加 | |
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16 provocation | |
n.激怒,刺激,挑拨,挑衅的事物,激怒的原因 | |
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17 immediate | |
adj.立即的;直接的,最接近的;紧靠的 | |
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18 protocol | |
n.议定书,草约,会谈记录,外交礼节 | |
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19 stipulate | |
vt.规定,(作为条件)讲定,保证 | |
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20 envoy | |
n.使节,使者,代表,公使 | |
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21 radicals | |
n.激进分子( radical的名词复数 );根基;基本原理;[数学]根数 | |
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22 feud | |
n.长期不和;世仇;v.长期争斗;世代结仇 | |
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