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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Scott Bobb
Bangkok
07 April 2006
A participant in a rally celebrates the victory in forcing Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra to step down in Bangkok, Thailand, Friday, April 7, 2006
In Thailand, political tensions have eased following the announcement by Thaksin Shinawatra that he was stepping down as prime minister. The announcement followed months of street protests that shook the Thaksin government and brought snap elections on April 2. However, Mr. Thaksin's departure has not ended political uncertainties1 in the kingdom.
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Thaksin Shinawatra put a temporary end to months of anti-government protests by taking a leave of absence and saying he would not be a candidate for prime minister in the next parliament. Despite his de facto resignation the confrontation2 is likely to continue between his government and the protesters, who accuse him of corruption3 and abuse of power.
Thaksin Shinawatra
Mr. Thaksin's party won a majority of the vote in the April 2 snap elections, which were boycotted5 by the three main opposition6 parties. But it also received a vote of no-confidence from one-third of the voters, who cast abstention ballots7.
Moreover, the elections failed to fill 39 seats in parliament because ruling party candidates running unopposed in these districts did not receive 20 percent of the votes as required by law.
Chulalongkorn University Professor Thitinan Pongsudhirak says a constitutional crisis is looming8. Because of the boycott4 the Election Commission may not be able to fill all the vacancies9 as required before parliament is to convene10 on May 1.
"It's a dilemma11 for the Election Commission. If the reruns [elections] are not complete, if some constituencies still need to be rerun again, the Election Commission has 30 days to open parliament," he said. "This is going to be a constitutional challenge."
If this occurs, he believes Thailand's Constitutional Court will have to rule on the matter.
Organizers of mass street demonstrations12 that shook the government say they will resume their protests unless Mr. Thaksin resigns as party head and quits politics altogether.
The Asia Foundation's representative in Thailand, James Klein, says this cannot happen, however, until the new parliament convenes13.
"At this time it's not legally possible for him to step down as caretaker prime minister," said Klein. "He's gone on leave technically14. But legally that's all he can do." He says only after parliament convenes could the opposition push for Mr. Thaksin to resign from all his positions.
Opposition parties, which are also boycotting15 the rerun elections, are not likely to recognize the new parliament or any government chosen by it.
A former Election Commission member, Gothom Arya, says a large number of voters will not accept the new parliament but nevertheless due process must be followed.
"The boycott or the non-acceptance is one thing, but what is written in the constitution is another," he said. "So the process will continue according to the constitution."
Thitinan says, however, that constitutional reform, which both sides say is needed, may be delayed by the deadlock16 over the new parliament, which the opposition views as illegitimate. "If the legislature takes the lead in revising the constitution then that will become certainly unacceptable to Thakin's opponents and to many Thais in general," he said. "This is one of the next hurdles17 we have to cross."
Thitinan says as a result the two sides may have to negotiate an agreement on how to revise the constitution, perhaps through an impartial18 commission of non-political legal experts like the panel that drafted the original document nine years ago.
Gothom says such a commission would need to address provisions that make it difficult to remove governments that have lost the people's support. "We have to look at how shall we regulate the so-called political market," he said. "Should it be very free, or moderately free, or somehow restricted? It's my opinion it's too restricted nowadays." He says in addition, regulatory bodies, like the Election Commission, must be strengthened to make them more immune from political interference. And ways must be found to guarantee individual rights already in the constitution.
Asia Foundation's James Klein says that allegations of corruption against the Thaksin government have underscored an emerging political concern.
"The major issue that has emerged over the past decade is a greater concern, particularly amongst the middle class, about the need for ethics19 in politics," he said.
Thitinan says political leaders must learn that being elected by a landslide20 vote does not give them the right to engage in corruption or abuse their power.
But, he says, people need to find ways to remove governments without resorting to means outside the constitution.
"This has to be a unique occasion [event]. We cannot have this kind of overthrowing21 the popularly elected prime minister every time we are dissatisfied," he said.
He concludes, however, the more immediate22 challenge is to produce constitutional reform and elections that will restore legitimacy23 and political order.
1 uncertainties | |
无把握( uncertainty的名词复数 ); 不确定; 变化不定; 无把握、不确定的事物 | |
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2 confrontation | |
n.对抗,对峙,冲突 | |
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3 corruption | |
n.腐败,堕落,贪污 | |
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4 boycott | |
n./v.(联合)抵制,拒绝参与 | |
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5 boycotted | |
抵制,拒绝参加( boycott的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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6 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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7 ballots | |
n.投票表决( ballot的名词复数 );选举;选票;投票总数v.(使)投票表决( ballot的第三人称单数 ) | |
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8 looming | |
n.上现蜃景(光通过低层大气发生异常折射形成的一种海市蜃楼)v.隐约出现,阴森地逼近( loom的现在分词 );隐约出现,阴森地逼近 | |
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9 vacancies | |
n.空房间( vacancy的名词复数 );空虚;空白;空缺 | |
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10 convene | |
v.集合,召集,召唤,聚集,集合 | |
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11 dilemma | |
n.困境,进退两难的局面 | |
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12 demonstrations | |
证明( demonstration的名词复数 ); 表明; 表达; 游行示威 | |
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13 convenes | |
召开( convene的第三人称单数 ); 召集; (为正式会议而)聚集; 集合 | |
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14 technically | |
adv.专门地,技术上地 | |
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15 boycotting | |
抵制,拒绝参加( boycott的现在分词 ) | |
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16 deadlock | |
n.僵局,僵持 | |
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17 hurdles | |
n.障碍( hurdle的名词复数 );跳栏;(供人或马跳跃的)栏架;跨栏赛 | |
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18 impartial | |
adj.(in,to)公正的,无偏见的 | |
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19 ethics | |
n.伦理学;伦理观,道德标准 | |
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20 landslide | |
n.(竞选中)压倒多数的选票;一面倒的胜利 | |
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21 overthrowing | |
v.打倒,推翻( overthrow的现在分词 );使终止 | |
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22 immediate | |
adj.立即的;直接的,最接近的;紧靠的 | |
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23 legitimacy | |
n.合法,正当 | |
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