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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Bill Rodgers
Washington, DC
16 August 2006
watch Winner & Loser report
Two Lebanese soldiers stand next to Lebanese army tanks in preparation to deploy1 in south Lebanon
The fighting in southern Lebanon between Israeli troops and Hezbollah is over for now. A ceasefire deal calls for the deployment2 of international peacekeepers and Lebanese troops to the area. But the repercussions3 of the month-long conflict continue to be felt in the Middle East. Assessments4 are being made over who emerged in a stronger position as a result of the fighting.
The fighting lasted just over a month, leaving numerous casualties. Most of them civilian5, and most of them Lebanese.
Now assessments are being made over what the conflict means for the future of Lebanon and the wider Middle East. For President Bush, the militant6 group Hezbollah is the clear loser.
"Hezbollah, of course, has got a fantastic propaganda machine and they're claiming victories. But how can you claim victory when at one time you were a state-within-a-state, safe within southern Lebanon, and now you're going to be replaced by a Lebanese army and an international force?” asked the president. “And that's what we're now working on, is to get the international force in southern Lebanon."
Former U.S. diplomat7 David Newton
Yet Hezbollah's surprisingly strong resistance against Israel won it the support of many Arabs who took the streets in pro-Hezbollah demonstrations8. Even if the militant group pulls back from its positions in southern Lebanon, its standing9 in the Arab world has been enhanced, according to former U.S. diplomat David Newton.
"They are seen as the heroes now among great numbers of Arabs. Arabs have always felt humiliated10 by their own weakness in the face of Israel and here is what seems to be just a small militia11 organization without heavy weapons, without aircraft yet it is fighting the most dominant12 military power in the Middle East to a standstill," said Mr. Newton.
This has implications for Israel, where some are questioning whether Prime Minister Ehud Olmert handled the crisis well.
Ellen Laipson
Ellen Laipson heads the Henry L. Stimson Center, a Washington think-tank. She says, "Clearly, what's happened with Hezbollah reminds Israel that they have neighbors that can interfere13 with their desire to live alone. But nothing that comes out of this struggle changes, I think, the mindset in Israel that peaceful coexistence and positive interaction with the Arab neighbors is really quite difficult to achieve."
The just-concluded conflict also has implications for the United States in the Middle East. Washington was criticized for not intervening earlier to press for a ceasefire. President Bush dismisses the criticism. "First of all, we from the beginning, urged caution on both sides so that innocent life would be protected. And secondly14, I think most leaders around the world would give Condoleezza Rice and her team great credit for finally getting a U.N. resolution passed."
That U.N. resolution calls for the deployment of 15,000 international peacekeepers to patrol a special demilitarized zone in southern Lebanon along with some Lebanese troops. But even if this takes place, Ellen Laipson believes the conflict has undermined U.S. interests in the region.
"In hindsight, I believe people will be critical of the Bush administration's belief that hitting Hezbollah overall was convergent15 with American interests and American goals, says Ms. Laipson. “What we now see is that the United States is so preoccupied16 with Iraq, and Iraq is not going well from a U.S. perspective, that it really didn't have the resources, the time, the attention to devote to some of these long-standing smaller conflicts."
However, some observers think Lebanon and its prime minister, Fuad Siniora, ultimately may come out ahead in the aftermath of this conflict. Lebanon will have gained more control over its territory, while Hezbollah's power as a state-within-a-state may be diminished.
1 deploy | |
v.(军)散开成战斗队形,布置,展开 | |
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2 deployment | |
n. 部署,展开 | |
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3 repercussions | |
n.后果,反响( repercussion的名词复数 );余波 | |
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4 assessments | |
n.评估( assessment的名词复数 );评价;(应偿付金额的)估定;(为征税对财产所作的)估价 | |
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5 civilian | |
adj.平民的,民用的,民众的 | |
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6 militant | |
adj.激进的,好斗的;n.激进分子,斗士 | |
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7 diplomat | |
n.外交官,外交家;能交际的人,圆滑的人 | |
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8 demonstrations | |
证明( demonstration的名词复数 ); 表明; 表达; 游行示威 | |
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9 standing | |
n.持续,地位;adj.永久的,不动的,直立的,不流动的 | |
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10 humiliated | |
感到羞愧的 | |
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11 militia | |
n.民兵,民兵组织 | |
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12 dominant | |
adj.支配的,统治的;占优势的;显性的;n.主因,要素,主要的人(或物);显性基因 | |
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13 interfere | |
v.(in)干涉,干预;(with)妨碍,打扰 | |
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14 secondly | |
adv.第二,其次 | |
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15 convergent | |
adj.会聚的 | |
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16 preoccupied | |
adj.全神贯注的,入神的;被抢先占有的;心事重重的v.占据(某人)思想,使对…全神贯注,使专心于( preoccupy的过去式) | |
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