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German stock trader makes phone call in Frankfurt |
European markets posted modest increases as investors1 took some comfort in the global efforts to prop2 up the international banking3 system.
Analysts4 say that as financial institutions grow less wary5 of lending to each other it will free up credit for consumers to purchase essential things like mortgages and small business loans.
The biggest gainers in European trading were in the financial sector6. Deutsche Bank in Germany and Lloyds TSB in Britain are recovering some of the losses incurred7 during the past few weeks.
Energy stocks are up as well.
But amid this moderate, short-term optimism is the realization8 that the world economy is slowing.
Here in Britain, the economy shrank by two-tenths of one percent in the last quarter and people like professor Peter Spencer from Ernst and Young's Item Club say for all intents and purposes, Britain is in a recession.
"It is a recession," he said. "But it is relatively9 shallow and short compared to the bad old days of the 1970s and 1980s, and that is for one simple reason and that is that the Bank of England is in a position to cut interest rates as inflation is coming off its peak."
Spencer says the next year will be financially rocky with growth slowing further and unemployment increasing.
"It will be apparent to everybody, if it is not already, that the good times are over and that belts have to be tightened," he said. "OK, inflation may be coming down a bit, but we will be finding our incomes squeezed in our pay packet. Those people who hold on to their jobs, hopefully the majority of us, will see that their pay really is not increasing."
But as he sees it, by the end of 2009, an economic recovery should be starting here.
The British government's strategy is to borrow its way through these tough times. The latest six-month total of public sector borrowing stands at a level not seen for 60 years.
1 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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2 prop | |
vt.支撑;n.支柱,支撑物;支持者,靠山 | |
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3 banking | |
n.银行业,银行学,金融业 | |
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4 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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5 wary | |
adj.谨慎的,机警的,小心的 | |
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6 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
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7 incurred | |
[医]招致的,遭受的; incur的过去式 | |
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8 realization | |
n.实现;认识到,深刻了解 | |
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9 relatively | |
adv.比较...地,相对地 | |
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