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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Suicide bombings have risen sharply in Pakistan and Afghanistan in the past year, even in the capital cities. Embassies, hotels, military convoys1, and markets have been among the targets of attacks. As VOA Correspondent Gary Thomas reports, lackluster governance and political uncertainty2 in both Pakistan and Afghanistan are seen as furthering the violence.
An Afghan man stands near the site of Monday's suicide attack near the Indian Embassy in Kabul, Afghanistan, 8 July 2008
Analysts4 say the job of the militants6 has been made easier by political uncertainty in Islamabad and Kabul, and that the attacks have in turn heightened the mistrust between Pakistan and Afghanistan. It is a vicious cycle, they say, that the militants exploit.
Former deputy assistant secretary of state for South Asia Teresita Schaffer says Pakistan's priority is to curb7 internal militant5 attacks such as those that have recently occurred in Islamabad, Karachi, and elsewhere. But the primary U.S. and Afghan concern is eradication8 of the safe havens9 inside Pakistan from which militants launch cross-border attacks on NATO and Afghan forces in Afghanistan.
"The problem that the U.S. has been most preoccupied10 with in South Asia has been essentially11 border control, shutting down the sanctuaries12 that the Afghan insurgents13 enjoy inside Pakistan," she noted14. "The problem that has been the top priority for the Pakistan government - and I think was the top priority for the Musharraf government before the present one - was the internal insurgency15 inside Pakistan."
An analyst3 with the private intelligence firm Stratfor, Kamran Bokhari, says the government appears not to have settled on whether it wants confrontation16 or conciliation17 with the militants, and that such indecision is fueling the internal insurgency.
"The behavior of the Pakistani government, aimlessly and randomly18 oscillating between negotiations19 and military operations, and encouraging certain factions20 over others, is basically creating a situation where you are saying to any and everybody who has a gun and is a militant outfit21 that, 'You know, all you need to do to get us on our knees is to kill enough people. Go ahead and engage in suicide bombings,'" he explained.
Analysts say the Pakistan government, which was elected in February to replace the Musharraf military government, is preoccupied with internal jockeying for political power. U.S. General Dan McNeill, who just finished his tour as NATO commander in Afghanistan last month, recently said that in his personal view, people are wondering just who is running the government in Islamabad.
"There is a certain amount of dysfunction that exists in Islamabad right now, and it is probably a challenge even for the Pakistanis to figure out exactly who is in charge of the government," he note.
RAND Corporation senior analyst Seth Jones says that militant activity in Afghanistan is intertwined with rampant22 corruption23 there, particularly with the highly lucrative24 drug trade.
"Government officials, drug traffickers, they need to be prosecuted25, removed from office," he said. " There have been increasing trends in public-opinion polls among local Afghans that they are increasingly concerned abut26 rising corruption in the government at all levels - at the provincial27 level, at the district level, as well as at the national levels."
The atmosphere is further poisoned by long-simmering suspicion between the two countries. Pakistan is concerned about growing ties between its archrival, India, and Afghanistan. Islamabad has seen a friendly government in Kabul as a bulwark28 against India. Analysts have long said that Pakistan's intelligence agency (ISI) helped create the Taliban for just that purpose, but dropped them after 2001.
Stratfor's Kamran Bokhari likens the Taliban to the fictional29 Frankenstein's monster, an entity30 that has escaped the control of its creator and come back to haunt it.
"The instability in Afghanistan and the Pakistani attempts to try to control that country for their own geopolitical purposes vis-à-vis India has brought the chickens home to roost, so to speak," he said. "So the instability in Pakistan is a result of cultivating non-state actor proxies31 that have now decided32, 'you know, we do not just need to be proxies, we can be more, much more.'"
Last month, Afghanistan accused the ISI of involvement in an assassination33 attempt on President Karzai earlier this year. Pakistan denied the charge. On Tuesday, presidential spokesman Humayun Hamidzada blamed the latest bombing in Kabul outside the Indian Embassy on an unnamed foreign intelligence agency. Pakistan denies involvement.
1 convoys | |
n.(有护航的)船队( convoy的名词复数 );车队;护航(队);护送队 | |
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2 uncertainty | |
n.易变,靠不住,不确知,不确定的事物 | |
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3 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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4 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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5 militant | |
adj.激进的,好斗的;n.激进分子,斗士 | |
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6 militants | |
激进分子,好斗分子( militant的名词复数 ) | |
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7 curb | |
n.场外证券市场,场外交易;vt.制止,抑制 | |
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8 eradication | |
n.根除 | |
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9 havens | |
n.港口,安全地方( haven的名词复数 )v.港口,安全地方( haven的第三人称单数 ) | |
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10 preoccupied | |
adj.全神贯注的,入神的;被抢先占有的;心事重重的v.占据(某人)思想,使对…全神贯注,使专心于( preoccupy的过去式) | |
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11 essentially | |
adv.本质上,实质上,基本上 | |
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12 sanctuaries | |
n.避难所( sanctuary的名词复数 );庇护;圣所;庇护所 | |
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13 insurgents | |
n.起义,暴动,造反( insurgent的名词复数 ) | |
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14 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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15 insurgency | |
n.起义;暴动;叛变 | |
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16 confrontation | |
n.对抗,对峙,冲突 | |
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17 conciliation | |
n.调解,调停 | |
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18 randomly | |
adv.随便地,未加计划地 | |
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19 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
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20 factions | |
组织中的小派别,派系( faction的名词复数 ) | |
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21 outfit | |
n.(为特殊用途的)全套装备,全套服装 | |
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22 rampant | |
adj.(植物)蔓生的;狂暴的,无约束的 | |
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23 corruption | |
n.腐败,堕落,贪污 | |
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24 lucrative | |
adj.赚钱的,可获利的 | |
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25 prosecuted | |
a.被起诉的 | |
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26 abut | |
v.接界,毗邻 | |
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27 provincial | |
adj.省的,地方的;n.外省人,乡下人 | |
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28 bulwark | |
n.堡垒,保障,防御 | |
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29 fictional | |
adj.小说的,虚构的 | |
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30 entity | |
n.实体,独立存在体,实际存在物 | |
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31 proxies | |
n.代表权( proxy的名词复数 );(测算用的)代替物;(对代理人的)委托书;(英国国教教区献给主教等的)巡游费 | |
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32 decided | |
adj.决定了的,坚决的;明显的,明确的 | |
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33 assassination | |
n.暗杀;暗杀事件 | |
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