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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
This is the second anniversary of the truce1 ending the Lebanon War between Israel and the Islamic guerrilla group Hezbollah. Israel is pessimistic about the results, as we hear from Robert Berger at the VOA bureau in Jerusalem.
A fireman extinguishes a blaze following a Katyusha missile attack on the northern Israeli port of Haifa (File photo)
The Israeli army says Hezbollah has re-armed with 40,000 rockets-triple the number it had at the start of the Lebanon War two years ago. Therefore, many Israelis believe another war with Hezbollah is inevitable2.
"The war set the stage for a more comprehensive Middle East conflict," said Israeli analyst3 Michael Oren. "It set into motion a dynamic in the Arab world, where much of the Arab street believes that Hezbollah won that war, and there is tremendous expectation on Hezbollah to continue the struggle."
Hezbollah fired 4,000 rockets into Israel during the 34-day conflict. But a massive Israeli air and ground assault failed to deal a knockout blow to 5,000 Hezbollah guerrillas in South Lebanon, prompting an official Israeli inquiry4 to describe the government's and army's handling of the war as a failure.
Oren says there were failures, but also achievements.
Beirut buildings destroyed in Israeli attack (2006 file)
"Israel wreaked5 tremendous havoc6 in Lebanon in 2006," Oren said. "We destroyed all of Hezbollah's infrastructure7, much of its civilian8 headquarters, we killed about a quarter of their fighters, that is a prohibitive number of casualties for any modern fighting force, and yet perception is everything in the Middle East and the perception was, in the Arab world at least, that Israel was bested in that conflict."
Under the U.N. ceasefire resolution that ended the war, about 13,000 international peacekeepers have deployed9 in South Lebanon. But Israel charges that they have failed to fulfill10 their mandate11 of preventing weapons smuggling12 to Hezbollah from Syria and Iran.
With a bristling13 new arsenal14 of rockets, Oren believes a Hezbollah attack on Israel is just a matter of time.
"Israel would then have to reply into Lebanon, possibly drawing in the Syrians and ultimately the Iranians," Oren said.
And with the possible involvement of regional superpowers, the next war could be much worse than the last one.
1 truce | |
n.休战,(争执,烦恼等的)缓和;v.以停战结束 | |
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2 inevitable | |
adj.不可避免的,必然发生的 | |
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3 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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4 inquiry | |
n.打听,询问,调查,查问 | |
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5 wreaked | |
诉诸(武力),施行(暴力),发(脾气)( wreak的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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6 havoc | |
n.大破坏,浩劫,大混乱,大杂乱 | |
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7 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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8 civilian | |
adj.平民的,民用的,民众的 | |
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9 deployed | |
(尤指军事行动)使展开( deploy的过去式和过去分词 ); 施展; 部署; 有效地利用 | |
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10 fulfill | |
vt.履行,实现,完成;满足,使满意 | |
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11 mandate | |
n.托管地;命令,指示 | |
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12 smuggling | |
n.走私 | |
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13 bristling | |
a.竖立的 | |
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14 arsenal | |
n.兵工厂,军械库 | |
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