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A United Nations survey on global investment prospects1 shows the U.S. financial crisis and economic downturn are making corporations more cautious about future foreign investment. VOA Correspondent Steve Herman reports from New Delhi.
Official release in India of UNCTAD's annual report on global investment
A United Nations report, released globally on Wednesday, shows foreign direct investment in developed countries likely peaked last year, when it surged 33 percent to a record $1.25 trillion. The outlook for this year is less optimistic because of the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the United States and the related upheaval2 in the banking3 sector4.
One of the contributors to this year's World Investment Report of the U.N. Conference on Trade and Development, consultant5 Premila Nazareth, says a 10 percent drop is forecast for 2008.
Premila Nazareth, economic consultant & policy analyst6 who contributed to the 2008 World Investment Report
"So far, the sub-prime [crisis] has not affected7 FDI (foreign direct investment) flows over this last year, but will start to do so over the next year - not dramatically but there will be a slowdown," said Nazareth.
The report's survey of corporate8 chief executive officers finds a majority of companies still plan to increase international investment expenditures9 in the next three years, but at more moderate levels.
Economist10 Partha Mukhopadhyay of India's Center for Policy Research says the unfolding financial crisis means highly-leveraged massive multi-billion-dollar investment deals in developing countries are likely over, but more rational overseas investments are apt to replace them.
Partha Mukhopadhyay of the Centre for Policy Research at news conference for release of the World Investment Report
"It's quite possible that you might see a resurgence11 of much more healthy levels of activity, rather than the current, quote, unquote 'irrational12 exuberance,'" said Mukhopadhyay.
The report notes that the most important factors for investment locations by large corporations are market growth and size and access to international and regional markets.
The annual U.N. survey finds that China, India, the United States, the Russian Federation13 and Brazil are the most attractive targets for future foreign investment. New entrants in the top-15 investment destinations are South Africa, Canada and Turkey.
The United States remains14 the largest recipient15 of foreign direct investment, helped by a weaker dollar. It is also the largest outward investor16, followed by the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Spain. Among developing and transitioning economies, the report finds that the largest sources of foreign direct investment are China and the Russian Federation.
1 prospects | |
n.希望,前途(恒为复数) | |
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2 upheaval | |
n.胀起,(地壳)的隆起;剧变,动乱 | |
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3 banking | |
n.银行业,银行学,金融业 | |
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4 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
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5 consultant | |
n.顾问;会诊医师,专科医生 | |
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6 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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7 affected | |
adj.不自然的,假装的 | |
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8 corporate | |
adj.共同的,全体的;公司的,企业的 | |
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9 expenditures | |
n.花费( expenditure的名词复数 );使用;(尤指金钱的)支出额;(精力、时间、材料等的)耗费 | |
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10 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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11 resurgence | |
n.再起,复活,再现 | |
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12 irrational | |
adj.无理性的,失去理性的 | |
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13 federation | |
n.同盟,联邦,联合,联盟,联合会 | |
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14 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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15 recipient | |
a.接受的,感受性强的 n.接受者,感受者,容器 | |
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16 investor | |
n.投资者,投资人 | |
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