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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Stocks in Asia reached a three-month high this week, injecting fresh hopes among investors1 of an early turnaround in the global financial crisis. A new report by the Asian Development Bank says, although Asia's stock markets are showing signs of stabilizing2, the real recovery could be "lengthy3".
The Asian Development Bank's Asia Capital Markets Monitor report says the outflow of capital from emerging markets in Asia has slowed in the first quarter of 2009, after huge withdrawals4 in the second half of 2008.
A man walks past a share prices board in Tokyo, (File Photo - 8 Apr 2009)
The report say there are signs of a "tentative recovery" in Asia's stock markets, as investors becoming less pessimistic about the region's prospects5.
This week, the Morgan Stanley Composite index, which tracks stocks of some of the biggest companies in the Asia-Pacific region except Japan, reached a three-month high. On Monday, the Shanghai Composite Index reached its highest level since August, as investors were encouraged by Premier6 Wen Jiabao's recent remarks that the country's massive stimulus7 spending is beginning to bear results.
Lee Jong-wha, the head of the regional economic integration8 office of the Asia Development Bank - a Manila-based bank which lends to governments in the region - says continued economic expansion in countries like China and India will help push this recovery.
"The fast-growing economies in the region provide plenty of opportunities for long-term investors. I think these strong development need especially to build infrastructure9, and Asia's strong growth momentum10 should also help local markets recover," said Lee.
The report says as much as $65 billion in private capital is expected to come to the region this year, although that number is sharply lower than previous years. Emerging Asia includes China, India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Taiwan and South Korea.
But Lee warns that the immediate11 economic outlook for the region remains12 "cloudy." The ADB report says that, even if the markets may have reached bottom, the eventual13 recovery could still be drawn-out.
New York University economics professor Nouriel Roubini, also known as "Dr. Doom14" for his predictions of financial crises, agrees.
"I do agree that we are closer right now to the bottom of this stock market, U.S. and globally than we were, say, a year ago. But I think, even the latest rally is a bear market rally, and there will be more contraction," said Roubini.
In Hong Kong Monday, Roubini said bad earnings15 from American companies and poor results from the "stress tests" being conducted by authorities on U.S. financial institutions, will scare investors.
Indeed, some of Asia's major markets fell Tuesday, on what analysts16 say is reaction to news of rising bad loans in American banks. Japan's Nikkei 225 index fell two-point-four percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index dropped nearly three percent, while Shanghai was down nearly one percent. South Korea's KOSPI was up nearly half a percent. Taiwan's stock index also rose one-point-seven percent.
1 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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2 stabilizing | |
n.稳定化处理[退火]v.(使)稳定, (使)稳固( stabilize的现在分词 ) | |
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3 lengthy | |
adj.漫长的,冗长的 | |
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4 withdrawals | |
n.收回,取回,撤回( withdrawal的名词复数 );撤退,撤走;收回[取回,撤回,撤退,撤走]的实例;推出(组织),提走(存款),戒除毒瘾,对说过的话收回,孤僻 | |
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5 prospects | |
n.希望,前途(恒为复数) | |
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6 premier | |
adj.首要的;n.总理,首相 | |
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7 stimulus | |
n.刺激,刺激物,促进因素,引起兴奋的事物 | |
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8 integration | |
n.一体化,联合,结合 | |
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9 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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10 momentum | |
n.动力,冲力,势头;动量 | |
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11 immediate | |
adj.立即的;直接的,最接近的;紧靠的 | |
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12 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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13 eventual | |
adj.最后的,结局的,最终的 | |
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14 doom | |
n.厄运,劫数;v.注定,命定 | |
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15 earnings | |
n.工资收人;利润,利益,所得 | |
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16 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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