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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Burma, one of the poorest nations in East Asia, may be entering a new phase of development after recent elections and the release of Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi from detention1. Regional political analysts2 fear little will change for most in the country.
Economic forecastBurma's central bank governor recently gave the World Bank a rosy3 picture of the country's economy, saying it would grow about 12 percent this year, driven by exports of natural gas and farm produce.
The Asian Development Bank, however, forecasts a more limited expansion in 2010 of 5 percent. Experts on Burma, however, say neither assessment4 would do much to improve the lives of most Burmese.
Poverty and despairAlison Vicary, an economist5 from Australia's Macquarie University, says Burma faces widespread difficulties.
"Oh I'd say it was a mess," Vicary said. "The continued kind of reports that we've had ... that people have of difficulty of putting food on the table. I think that kind of captures it. Anecdotally I would say that things are gradually just across time, actually getting worse and worse for ordinary people." Burma is one of Asia's poorest countries, and there are estimates that nearly a third of the population lives in extreme poverty. Burdensome Taxation6 A Macquarie University study found Burma's taxation system was onerous7, often included forced labor8, the forced purchasing of goods and confiscation9 of land. Poor road and port infrastructure10 also hampers11 development.
Hopes have risen among some economists12 and regional analysts that elections held November 7th, the first in 20 years, may lead to more openness in the economy, which the military government dominates.
But Debbie Stothard, the spokeswoman for the rights group the Alternative ASEAN Network, expects little change.
"It's a crisis situation for many parts of rural Burma where people are actually unable to grow food to feed themselves because of land confiscation, because of over-taxation by the authorities and just simply the lack of opportunities," Stothard said. "Most people felt very cynical13 and unhappy about the Burmese elections. The elections brought more taxes." Corruption15 rampantBurma's government is considered highly corrupt14. And many governments, including the United States, have imposed economic sanctions on the government because of its human rights abuses. But that has not stopped some foreign investors17. Thailand is Burma's leading investor16, particularly in natural gas and oil. China also is major investor and trade partner, especially in the energy sector18. Burma's other main exports are timber and precious stones, which draw investors from Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and India.
Bertil Lintner, an author who has written extensively about Burma, says despite the investment, the economy remains19 weak because of government mismanagement.
"There is virtually no capital investment in the country, there's no investment in manufacturing or anything that could really produce substantial economic growth," Lintner said.
Over the past year, the government sold off millions of dollars of assets, including ports and transportation systems, to businesses and military officers close to the top leaders.
Stothard at the Alternative ASEAN Network says that likely added the people's burdens.
"It's actually concentrating ownership of the main economic opportunities of the country," Stothard added. "So that's going to mean for most people in Burma prices will increase and their opportunities to make money will decrease."Economic and political reformBut some Burma experts say the sales could dilute20 the military's economic power and help create an entrepreneurial class.
The government's decision to free opposition21 leader Aung San Suu Kyi from years of detention this month has opened discussion about whether economic sanctions should be eased. Aung San Suu Kyi has indicated she is considering the idea, after years of endorsing22 sanctions.
Critics say that as long as countries such as China and India ignore sanctions, they only impoverish23 ordinary people and enrich the leadership.
But author Lintner says the sanctions need to stay until the military makes more reforms.
"Sanctions would not be removed without any concessions24 on the part of the government," said Lintner. "That was the whole purpose of introducing sanctions in the first place. Now unless there are some significant changes in the present policies of the regime, I cannot see that she would advocate the removal of sanctions. Sanctions are there for a purpose – that is the political pressure point."Uncertainty25 looms26 largeBecause of the uncertainties27 over how the newly elected government will handle the economy, and over sanctions, potential investors are expected remain wary28 of Burma. And, Burma scholars say, it is likely the country will continue to lag behind in a region that has powered ahead economically.
1 detention | |
n.滞留,停留;拘留,扣留;(教育)留下 | |
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2 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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3 rosy | |
adj.美好的,乐观的,玫瑰色的 | |
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4 assessment | |
n.评价;评估;对财产的估价,被估定的金额 | |
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5 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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6 taxation | |
n.征税,税收,税金 | |
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7 onerous | |
adj.繁重的 | |
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8 labor | |
n.劳动,努力,工作,劳工;分娩;vi.劳动,努力,苦干;vt.详细分析;麻烦 | |
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9 confiscation | |
n. 没收, 充公, 征收 | |
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10 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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11 hampers | |
妨碍,束缚,限制( hamper的第三人称单数 ) | |
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12 economists | |
n.经济学家,经济专家( economist的名词复数 ) | |
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13 cynical | |
adj.(对人性或动机)怀疑的,不信世道向善的 | |
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14 corrupt | |
v.贿赂,收买;adj.腐败的,贪污的 | |
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15 corruption | |
n.腐败,堕落,贪污 | |
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16 investor | |
n.投资者,投资人 | |
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17 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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18 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
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19 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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20 dilute | |
vt.稀释,冲淡;adj.稀释的,冲淡的 | |
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21 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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22 endorsing | |
v.赞同( endorse的现在分词 );在(尤指支票的)背面签字;在(文件的)背面写评论;在广告上说本人使用并赞同某产品 | |
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23 impoverish | |
vt.使穷困,使贫困 | |
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24 concessions | |
n.(尤指由政府或雇主给予的)特许权( concession的名词复数 );承认;减价;(在某地的)特许经营权 | |
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25 uncertainty | |
n.易变,靠不住,不确知,不确定的事物 | |
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26 looms | |
n.织布机( loom的名词复数 )v.隐约出现,阴森地逼近( loom的第三人称单数 );隐约出现,阴森地逼近 | |
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27 uncertainties | |
无把握( uncertainty的名词复数 ); 不确定; 变化不定; 无把握、不确定的事物 | |
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28 wary | |
adj.谨慎的,机警的,小心的 | |
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