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Would New Leader Change Egypt's Foreign Policy?
A possible win by the Muslim Brotherhood's Morsi has some wondering if Egypt could soon see a realignment of its foreign policy.
A spokesman for the Islamist candidate, Walid el Haddad, says a Morsi administration would strive to move beyond the U.S.-centered agenda of the past, but keep those decades-long ties strong.
"As we have a very good relation with America as one of the leaders of the world, so we have to have a good relation also with the Asian countries. We will have a good relation with African countries, as the European countries," he said.
The key, el Haddad says, is balance. Fifteen turbulent months after the old government fell, radical1 change is something the Morsi campaign is trying to play down. Even on controversial issues such as Israel, the candidate vows2 to keep the peace.
"We are respecting any treaties," he said. "This is one of our Islamic references: to respect any treaties. But also we are requesting the other side to respect [it]."
Morsi's opponent, Ahmed Shafiq, the last prime minister of the old government, also stresses staying the course in foreign relations.
Political observers note that, throughout the campaign, no one called for the treaty to be broken, even those who verbally attacked Israel.
"It can be done for domestic issues, for, you know, raising the popularity of a weak presidential candidate. But it is rhetoric3 that means nothing," said Said Sadek of the American University in Cairo.
Sadek says Egypt's need to keep friends was seen when Saudi Arabia recalled its ambassador following a violent protest at its Cairo embassy.
"Immediately, what did they do? The Islamist-controlled parliament sent a big delegation4, [saying] 'please come back. We don't want trouble.' They actually, I believe them, they don’t want. Nobody wants any major trouble in foreign policy," he said.
Another factor at play is Egypt's influential5 military, which was dragged into three wars during the last century. Political analyst6 Hisham Kassem says, since then, it has pledged not to be the victim of political ambitions.
"So the war decision will remain theirs," said Kassem. "Add to that anything in foreign policy that will lead to war, which means basically Israel, the Nile basin and Iran. You cannot make foreign policy isolated7 from the military in the next coming 10 years on issues like that."
There is also what appears to be an overriding8 need for the candidate who wins to keep his eye on problems at home.
"We have a lot of issues internally actually," said Morsi spokesman el Haddad. "We have the economic problem, the security disturbance9."
Morsi, he says, will focuss on domestic issues, first. Changing foreign policy, he adds, is just not a top priority. At least for now.
1 radical | |
n.激进份子,原子团,根号;adj.根本的,激进的,彻底的 | |
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2 vows | |
誓言( vow的名词复数 ); 郑重宣布,许愿 | |
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3 rhetoric | |
n.修辞学,浮夸之言语 | |
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4 delegation | |
n.代表团;派遣 | |
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5 influential | |
adj.有影响的,有权势的 | |
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6 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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7 isolated | |
adj.与世隔绝的 | |
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8 overriding | |
a.最主要的 | |
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9 disturbance | |
n.动乱,骚动;打扰,干扰;(身心)失调 | |
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