-
(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Failure of Syria Talks Signal Conflict May Be Long Struggle
As senior U.S. and Russian negotiators - along with the United Nations peace envoy1 - again failed to find a breakthrough in Syria talks on Friday, analysts3 say a solution could be a long time coming.
Through the 21-plus months of Syria's civil war, there has been no shortage of diplomacy4, but a significant shortage of progress.
Attacks from both sides continue to destroy Syria's cities and towns, kill tens of thousands of people, and leave hundreds of thousands as refugees in mud-soaked camps in neighboring countries.
"There's little sign that we're any closer to any political solution to this crisis," said Chris Doyle, director of the Council for Arab-British Understanding. "Because there are divisions in the international community between the United States and Russia, between key regional powers like Saudi Arabia and Iran, there is not a core constituency who are pushing for one single solution to the crisis in Syria."
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad remains5 defiant6, as he did during a recent speech in front of enthusiastic supporters in Damascus.
But Doyle and other experts say there is some erosion in Mr. Assad's international support. His friends in Moscow are signaling a willingness to see him fall, indicating they would accept an orderly transition as long as Russia's relationship with a new Syrian government is assured.
Analyst2 Anthony Skinner of the Maplecroft consulting firm said that is why Russia is more willing to deal with the Syrian opposition8.
"Russia is hedging its bets,” he said. “It hasn't fundamentally changed its position, but it's trying to establish a greater channel of communication and develop relations with the opposition."
The Iranian factor
But Skinner said the situation is quite different for Syria's other main foreign supporter, Iran.
"The relationship between Tehran and Damascus is so fundamental to the regime in Iran, in terms of its own agenda domestically and also in the region at large, that it would not make sense for it to engage in a massive reversal," he said.
The experts do not see any dramatic change in the Syria deadlock9 any time soon. But Chris Doyle puts some of the onus10 on the opposition and the West.
"We need a transition process,” Doyle said. “If it means that the president has to be there, even as a symbolic11 figure, for some months before he is ushered12 out, maybe that is something the parties need to consider in order to find a way out."
Doyle said without some sort of dramatic change on one or both sides, the fighting could drag on indefinitely, and there may be little left of Syria for whoever wins.
1 envoy | |
n.使节,使者,代表,公使 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
2 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
3 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
4 diplomacy | |
n.外交;外交手腕,交际手腕 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
5 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
6 defiant | |
adj.无礼的,挑战的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
7 eroding | |
侵蚀,腐蚀( erode的现在分词 ); 逐渐毁坏,削弱,损害 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
8 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
9 deadlock | |
n.僵局,僵持 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
10 onus | |
n.负担;责任 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
11 symbolic | |
adj.象征性的,符号的,象征主义的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
12 ushered | |
v.引,领,陪同( usher的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|