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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
WASHINGTON—Forces fighting for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad are struggling against rebels in the country’s northwest, despite substantial backing from Russia and Iran, according to U.S. officials. But they caution that both Russia and Tehran seem prepared to dig in and intensify1 their efforts.
“Pro-regime forces have had little success to date, despite a marked increase in Russian airstrikes in recent days,” a U.S. intelligence official told VOA on condition of anonymity2.
Another U.S. official, who also was not authorized3 to discuss the Syrian offensive publicly, characterized the Russian and Iranian-backed offensive in northwest Syria as making only “incremental gains.”
“The [Syrian] opposition4 is definitely putting up a formidable fight in that area,” the official added.
Three weeks into a Russian air campaign over Syria, victories for pro-regime ground forces have been restricted mainly to skirmishes on the outskirts5 of key cities like Homs, Hama and now Aleppo. Also, the addition of Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps6 troops to a coalition7 that included remnants of the Syrian army and Iranian-trained Shi’ite fighters from Iraq, Pakistan and Afghanistan seems to have made little difference.
Iran, Russia Undeterred by Slow-Go in Syria
Instead, analysts9 say, Iran has suffered a growing number of casualties, with estimates of IRGC deaths ranging from 20 to 200, including several top commanders.
Rather than back down, however, Iran has become emboldened10.
'Underestimated' the fight
“There is a change in nature and Iran seems to be much more involved and much more willing to use its own soldiers," according to Michael Horowitz, a senior analyst8 at the Levantine Group, a Middle East-based geopolitical consultancy.
“It is very notable that we are seeing an increase in the number of high-ranking Iranian officers that have been killed,” he said.
On Monday, Iranian state media reported the death of IRGC commander Moslem11 Khizab, while also noting the deaths of three other high-ranking officers the week before.
Another key Iranian commander, General Hossein Hamedani, was killed earlier this month on the outskirts of Aleppo, a loss one U.S. intelligence official described at the time as a “psychological blow” to pro-Assad forces.
“The Iranians are certainly losing a lot of very good, senior people in this fight,” said Matt McInnis, a senior analyst at the American Enterprise Institute. “They have underestimated how hard this fight is going to be.”
McInnis, who previously12 served in analytic13 and advisory14 roles with U.S. Central Command in Iraq, compared Iran’s experiences in Syria to the “mission creep” the U.S. experienced in Iraq and Afghanistan over the past 15 years.
“Their counter-insurgency efforts are not working and they’re having to put more people in,” he said. “We could very well see more significant ground troop movement in the future.”
“Iran’s willingness to risk the deaths of multiple senior officers in Syria and Iraq is another arrow pointing to the importance Tehran attaches to these conflicts,” a U.S. counterterrorism official told VOA. “Replacing commanders is not easy.”
Still, U.S. intelligence and defense15 officials say all indications from Iran point to a “deepening involvement in the conflict,” with military support for the Assad regime continuing to grow.
U.S. officials warn that Russian supplies also continue to pour into Syria, both by air and sea, and that pro-regime fighters continue to mass in the areas around Aleppo.
In the meantime, Russian airstrikes on rebel positions are starting to take a toll.
Commanders with Fatah Halab [Conquest of Aleppo], which brings together more than 30 rebel factions17, say they are starting to take heavy casualties, including the commander of a militia18 that has received U.S. supplies and training.
Another Russian airstrike Monday in Latakia province killed Basil Zamo, a commander of the First Coastal19 Division, another of the rebel groups believed to have gotten U.S. support.
U.S. officials and analysts also caution that the number of airstrikes targeting top rebel leaders is only likely to increase, as Russia expands its use of drones and other advanced intelligence gathering20 techniques.
There also is concern among Western analysts and officials that a bigger push from Syrian, Iranian and other pro-Assad forces – numbering upwards21 of 10,000 fighters – still could be on the horizon.
点击收听单词发音
1 intensify | |
vt.加强;变强;加剧 | |
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2 anonymity | |
n.the condition of being anonymous | |
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3 authorized | |
a.委任的,许可的 | |
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4 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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5 outskirts | |
n.郊外,郊区 | |
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6 corps | |
n.(通信等兵种的)部队;(同类作的)一组 | |
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7 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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8 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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9 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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10 emboldened | |
v.鼓励,使有胆量( embolden的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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11 Moslem | |
n.回教徒,穆罕默德信徒;adj.回教徒的,回教的 | |
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12 previously | |
adv.以前,先前(地) | |
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13 analytic | |
adj.分析的,用分析方法的 | |
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14 advisory | |
adj.劝告的,忠告的,顾问的,提供咨询 | |
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15 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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16 toll | |
n.过路(桥)费;损失,伤亡人数;v.敲(钟) | |
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17 factions | |
组织中的小派别,派系( faction的名词复数 ) | |
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18 militia | |
n.民兵,民兵组织 | |
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19 coastal | |
adj.海岸的,沿海的,沿岸的 | |
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20 gathering | |
n.集会,聚会,聚集 | |
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21 upwards | |
adv.向上,在更高处...以上 | |
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22 wresting | |
动词wrest的现在进行式 | |
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23 decided | |
adj.决定了的,坚决的;明显的,明确的 | |
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