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You might not think that mathematicians2 have anything particularly relevant to say about your love life. But you'd be wrong--if we're talking about James Murray, a mathematician1 at the University of Washington in Seattle who teamed up with Psychologist John Gottman to explore the rocky road of romance. Here's what the two did. They videotaped hundreds of volunteer couples discussing such things as sex and money. You know--the sorts of things on which everybody always agrees, right?
Then they broke down behavioral responses to these high-pressure discussions into recognizable groups, such as whether partner A can be persuaded by partner B, or whether partner A takes offense3 when partner B makes a cutting remark. A set of equations was drawn4 up that represented the interactions of these different factors in mathematical form, leading to...Ding!...a prediction as to whether this marriage would last.
Sound like a stretch? Think you can't possibly tell that much about a couple from a single interview and some calculations? Four years later Murray and Gottman did a follow-up to see whether the equation had made the right prediction. It sure had--their Mathematical Marriage Predictor was right an astonishing ninety-four percent of the time.
Some conspicuous5 findings included the fact that, in marriages that lasted, laughing occurred five times more frequently than in couples destined6 for break-up. The team also found that the one behavior that most consistently predicted divorce was the appearance of a contemptuous or mocking facial expression on one partner's face when the other one spoke7. According to the Mathematical Marriage Predictor, it's "roll your eyes and say goodbyes
1 mathematician | |
n.数学家 | |
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2 mathematicians | |
数学家( mathematician的名词复数 ) | |
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3 offense | |
n.犯规,违法行为;冒犯,得罪 | |
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4 drawn | |
v.拖,拉,拔出;adj.憔悴的,紧张的 | |
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5 conspicuous | |
adj.明眼的,惹人注目的;炫耀的,摆阔气的 | |
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6 destined | |
adj.命中注定的;(for)以…为目的地的 | |
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7 spoke | |
n.(车轮的)辐条;轮辐;破坏某人的计划;阻挠某人的行动 v.讲,谈(speak的过去式);说;演说;从某种观点来说 | |
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