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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Bill Gasperini
Moscow
09 April 2006
Russia's state-controlled gas monopoly, Gazprom, says it plans to triple the price that neighboring Belarus must pay for its gas. Gazprom has already raised the prices it charges some other former Soviet1 republics.
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On the surface, Russia is a staunch supporter of Belarus and its controversial leader, President Alexander Lukashenko, who many in the West call Europe's last dictator.
Mr. Lukashenko has been in power for 12 years, and by official count, won an overwhelming victory for an unprecedented2 third term in last month's election.
Russia quickly congratulated the long-time ruler on his victory, which most of the world criticized as being marred3 by fraud.
The United States and European Union plan to impose new sanctions against the Lukashenko government in response to the elections.
Most analysts5 say Russia supports Belarus as a kind of buffer6 zone on its western border, and because the Kremlin is angered by what it calls Western meddling7 in what it considers its backyard - the former Soviet republics.
However, the Russian backing is not unconditional8. And the move to increase gas prices is primarily seen as a means for Gazprom to gain control of Belarus's gas pipeline9 transit10 system, run by the state company Beltransgaz.
Roman Yelagin is an oil-and-gas analyst4 with the Renaissance11 Capital firm in Moscow. He says the Russian gas giant has made similar moves in other neighboring countries, such as Armenia. "Such deals are closely linked with Gazprom's ambitious policy to take control over the gas pipeline assets in countries, in exchange for the lower, or stable gas prices," he said.
Beltransgaz carries a large proportion of Russian gas to key markets in Western Europe, and Gazprom has a stated goal of consolidating12 its hold on the gas market.
It also needs to increase capital, in order to build new pipelines13 and improve existing infrastructure14.
Gazprom has already raised rates for gas to other ex-Soviet republics, including Georgia, Moldova and, most notably15, Ukraine.
A demand that Kiev accept a four-fold price increase in January sparked a crisis, when it cut off supplies on New Year's Day, a move that also lowered the flow of gas to Western Europe.
A deal was quickly reached for a lower price increase, amid harsh international criticism that the Kremlin was using Gazprom as a political tool over nations that have turned away from Russia politically. Russia denied the price increases were politically motivated.
Belarus currently pays $47 per 1,000 cubic meters of gas, far below the European price of $230.
Gazprom Deputy Chairman Alexander Riyazanov says there is nothing political in the decision to raise prices. Riyazanov says Belarus is the only one of the former Soviet nations to pay a low price, and that talks will begin soon to decide on a new price to take effect next January.
Russia has, in fact, tried to raise rates Belarus pays before, and, on at least two occasions, Gazprom has even cut off supplies.
This happened most recently in January 2004, when President Lukashenko finally promised to sell Beltransgaz.
However, no deal has been reached, partly because Russia values the company at $600,000, while Belarus insists it is worth several billion dollars. Roman Yelagin, the oil and gas analyst, says this is a process of bargaining. "It is also part of the discussion between Gazprom and the Belarussian government. It is aiming to (push the) Belarussian government to finalize16 their final position in the discussion, in the negotiation17 process," he says.
Economists18 say that a steep gas price increase would threaten Belarus's command Soviet-style economy, which in turn could threaten Mr. Lukashenko's grip on power.
Few believe the Kremlin wants to see Mr. Lukashenko fall.
Personal relations between Mr. Lukashenko and Russian President Vladimir Putin have often been strained, even though the two leaders have long discussed a possible union of the two countries.
But a lot now depends on whether the two can agree on a satisfactory outcome to the gas issue.
1 Soviet | |
adj.苏联的,苏维埃的;n.苏维埃 | |
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2 unprecedented | |
adj.无前例的,新奇的 | |
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3 marred | |
adj. 被损毁, 污损的 | |
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4 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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5 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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6 buffer | |
n.起缓冲作用的人(或物),缓冲器;vt.缓冲 | |
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7 meddling | |
v.干涉,干预(他人事务)( meddle的现在分词 ) | |
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8 unconditional | |
adj.无条件的,无限制的,绝对的 | |
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9 pipeline | |
n.管道,管线 | |
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10 transit | |
n.经过,运输;vt.穿越,旋转;vi.越过 | |
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11 renaissance | |
n.复活,复兴,文艺复兴 | |
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12 consolidating | |
v.(使)巩固, (使)加强( consolidate的现在分词 );(使)合并 | |
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13 pipelines | |
管道( pipeline的名词复数 ); 输油管道; 在考虑(或规划、准备) 中; 在酿中 | |
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14 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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15 notably | |
adv.值得注意地,显著地,尤其地,特别地 | |
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16 finalize | |
v.落实,定下来 | |
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17 negotiation | |
n.谈判,协商 | |
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18 economists | |
n.经济学家,经济专家( economist的名词复数 ) | |
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