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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Andre de Nesnera
Washington
11 April 2006
Iranian girl holds up a poster of Iran's president Mahmoud Ahamadinejad, during a gathering1, April. 11, 2006
Iran has announced that it has successfully enriched uranium at its facility in the central town of Natanz, a process that could either be used for civilian2 purposes or to build nuclear weapons. VOA Senior Correspondent André de Nesnera looks at what the international community can do to curtail3 Iran's nuclear weapons ambitions.
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This is the latest development in an escalating4 confrontation5 between many Western nations and Iran over Tehran's nuclear weapons ambitions. The United States and Europe believe Tehran is seeking to develop a nuclear arsenal6. But Iran's government says its program is only aimed at producing fuel for peaceful, civilian purposes. The announcement that Iran has successfully enriched uranium was made in Tehran by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who called it a "historic moment."
Last month, the United Nations Security Council urged Iran to suspend its uranium enrichment activities and asked Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, or IAEA, to report back to the Council on April 28.
Experts say Iran's latest move may force the U.N. Security Council to discuss harsher measures against Tehran, such as sanctions. But they also point out that two Council members with veto power, China and Russia, have expressed their opposition7 to sanctions.
Charles Kupchan, former member of the U.S. National Security Council in the first Clinton administration, now with the Council on Foreign Relations, says the world body could first consider limited sanctions. "The talk thus far has been more about 'smart sanctions', sanctions that affect the leadership and not the broader Iranian population. It is the same sort of set of policy initiatives that has been talked about vis-à-vis Belarus, where a recent election was apparently8 stolen by [Alexander] Lukashenko, freezing the assets of leaders, not letting them travel by not giving them visas. These are the sorts of things that may, in the early stages, be implemented9 before attempting to garner10 support for a broader economic embargo11 of Iran," he said.
However, experts say that the only way sanctions would be effective is if there is strong support from the international community.
Carne Ross, a former British diplomat12, a member of Britain's delegation13 to the United Nations Security Council (1998 - 2000) who worked on the issue of sanctions against Iraq, says a sanctions regime requires a long-term, patient and detailed14 effort to succeed.
"It is very difficult to control trade or indeed financial flows or the visits of senior government officials or flights.The world is a complex place and there are many flows going into and out of countries. And it is very, very difficult to monitor, police, and control those flows. And if you are going to try to, you are going to have to devote an enormous amount of effort to succeed. And that effort involves setting up monitoring bodies, appointing large numbers of officials to work on it, having monitoring on borders. But also a very painstaking15 and diligent16 effort to encourage the neighbors of the target state and other actors involved to observe the sanctions regime that you have imposed," he said.
In short, says Ross, it is a great deal of work and it is unclear whether the international community is ready for it.
Daryl Kimball, head of the Arms Control Association, an independent research organization, says the United States, a strong advocate of sanctions, cannot push ahead with this approach any faster than the Security Council is willing to go. "The next step is not clear. If the United States pushes for stronger actions against Iran, these targeted political and economic sanctions, and the Russians and the Chinese resist, then it is quite possible that the Security Council will be deadlocked17. They will not be able to take any action. At the same time, that kind of scenario18 might lead some in the United States to argue that the Bush administration should take actions on its own. So we are moving in a very delicate phase here," he said.
Experts say the next step is for the Security Council to meet and decide what measures to undertake in order to force Iran to end its uranium enrichment program. But they say agreeing to those measures may be difficult.
1 gathering | |
n.集会,聚会,聚集 | |
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2 civilian | |
adj.平民的,民用的,民众的 | |
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3 curtail | |
vt.截短,缩短;削减 | |
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4 escalating | |
v.(使)逐步升级( escalate的现在分词 );(使)逐步扩大;(使)更高;(使)更大 | |
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5 confrontation | |
n.对抗,对峙,冲突 | |
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6 arsenal | |
n.兵工厂,军械库 | |
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7 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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8 apparently | |
adv.显然地;表面上,似乎 | |
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9 implemented | |
v.实现( implement的过去式和过去分词 );执行;贯彻;使生效 | |
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10 garner | |
v.收藏;取得 | |
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11 embargo | |
n.禁运(令);vt.对...实行禁运,禁止(通商) | |
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12 diplomat | |
n.外交官,外交家;能交际的人,圆滑的人 | |
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13 delegation | |
n.代表团;派遣 | |
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14 detailed | |
adj.详细的,详尽的,极注意细节的,完全的 | |
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15 painstaking | |
adj.苦干的;艰苦的,费力的,刻苦的 | |
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16 diligent | |
adj.勤勉的,勤奋的 | |
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17 deadlocked | |
陷入僵局的;僵持不下的 | |
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18 scenario | |
n.剧本,脚本;概要 | |
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