Brexit(英国退欧)可能会队欧盟成员产生影响

Concern Grows in Brussels That Brexit Could Prove Contagious Brexit(英国退欧)可能会队欧盟成员产生影响

LONDON—

Approval of the European Union has fallen sharply across the continent, according to new research, raising fears in Brussels of a contagion¹ effect from the upcoming British referendum on its membership in the bloc².

The Washington-based Pew Research Center interviewed 10,000 people across Europe. Their answers showed that skepticism about the EU was not confined to Britain.

France viewed the bloc even more unfavorably than its neighbor across the English Channel, with just 38 percent of people having a positive opinion of the EU, compared with 69 percent in 2004. In Spain, approval of the EU has fallen from 80 percent to 47 percent.

Tim Oliver of the London School of Economics said a British vote to leave the EU could lead to demands for similar referendums across the continent.

“However, whether or not they succeed depends on, one, what happens to the UK," he said. "If the UK struggles, then that sets quite a powerful message to the rest of the European Union.

"And secondly³, it depends on what happens in the Eurozone, it depends what happens in Schengen, it depends what happens with Russia. The European Union faces several crises at the moment, and Britain is one of them.”

Oliver added that a British divorce from the EU likely would be lengthy⁴ and bitter.

For the rest of the EU, “there has to be an economic cost" to the United Kingdom if it leaves the bloc, he said. "The UK can’t withdraw and not feel any punishment, any costs and so forth⁵, and get a new relationship with the EU, or else that might encourage other member states to do the same thing.”

Refugee crisis

Pew researchers said much of the disapproval⁶ of the EU is related to its handling of the refugee crisis. More than 1 million migrants arrived in Greece in 2015; disapproval of Brussels’ migrant policies there runs at 94 percent.

A simultaneous so-called Brexit crisis could push Europe to the brink⁷.

“They haven’t solved each crisis, they’ve just managed to cope and move on, and hope they’ll find a solution later on," Oliver said. "If several crises align⁸ at the same time, that puts the EU in uncharted territory, and that is quite dangerous.”

In a speech Wednesday, former British Foreign Secretary William Hague warned that a British exit could sow wider division.

“If we lift our eyes from our local concerns to the challenges coming our way within this continent and beyond it, then the risks of leaving are too great," Hague said at analyst⁹ group Chatham House. "Above all, the danger of a fractured, divided and weakened West is one we must do our utmost to avoid.”

And with disapproval of the EU growing across the continent, analysts¹⁰ say a British exit could have much wider consequences for Europe and beyond.

1 contagion   

n.(通过接触的疾病)传染；蔓延

参考例句：

• A contagion of fear swept through the crowd.一种恐惧感在人群中迅速蔓延开。
• The product contagion effect has numerous implications for marketing managers and retailers.产品传染效应对市场营销管理者和零售商都有很多的启示。

2 bloc   

n.集团；联盟

参考例句：

• A solid bloc of union members support the decision.工会会员团结起来支持该决定。
• There have been growing tensions within the trading bloc.贸易同盟国的关系越来越紧张。

3 secondly   

adv.第二，其次

参考例句：

• Secondly,use your own head and present your point of view.第二，动脑筋提出自己的见解。
• Secondly it is necessary to define the applied load.其次，需要确定所作用的载荷。

4 lengthy   

adj.漫长的，冗长的

参考例句：

• We devoted a lengthy and full discussion to this topic.我们对这个题目进行了长时间的充分讨论。
• The professor wrote a lengthy book on Napoleon.教授写了一部有关拿破仑的巨著。

5 forth   

adv.向前；向外，往外

参考例句：

• The wind moved the trees gently back and forth.风吹得树轻轻地来回摇晃。
• He gave forth a series of works in rapid succession.他很快连续发表了一系列的作品。

6 disapproval   

n.反对，不赞成

参考例句：

• The teacher made an outward show of disapproval.老师表面上表示不同意。
• They shouted their disapproval.他们喊叫表示反对。

7 brink   

n.(悬崖、河流等的)边缘，边沿

参考例句：

• The tree grew on the brink of the cliff.那棵树生长在峭壁的边缘。
• The two countries were poised on the brink of war.这两个国家处于交战的边缘。

8 align   

vt.使成一线，结盟，调节；vi.成一线，结盟

参考例句：

• Align the ruler and the middle of the paper.使尺子与纸张的中部成一条直线。
• There are signs that the prime minister is aligning himself with the liberals.有迹象表明首相正在与自由党人结盟。

9 analyst   

n.分析家，化验员；心理分析学家

参考例句：

• What can you contribute to the position of a market analyst?你有什么技能可有助于市场分析员的职务？
• The analyst is required to interpolate values between standards.分析人员需要在这些标准中插入一些值。

10 analysts   

分析家，化验员( analyst的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• City analysts forecast huge profits this year. 伦敦金融分析家预测今年的利润非常丰厚。
• I was impressed by the high calibre of the researchers and analysts. 研究人员和分析人员的高素质给我留下了深刻印象。