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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
STATE DEPARTMENT —
June 5th marks the 50th anniversary of a preemptive Israeli airstrike that destroyed the Egyptian air force on the ground, paving the way for Israel to defeat Egypt, Jordan and Syria in what came to be known as the "Six Day War."
Israel’s lightning victory over its Arab neighbors in June of 1967 stunned1 the world and surprised even the Israelis themselves. Most analysts3 agree that the Six Day War transformed the Arab-Israeli conflict, the Middle East as a whole, and U.S.-Israeli ties forever.
Tamara Cofman Wittes, a Middle East expert with the Brookings Institution, listed some of the far-reaching changes that followed the conflict in 1967: “You know, the Israeli pushback of the combined Arab armies and the conquest of territory suddenly gave Israel cards to play in negotiations5 with the Arab states that it did not have before. There's a direct line from the 1967 war’s outcome in Israel's conquest of Sinai and the Egyptian-Israeli Peace Treaty.”
“And in some ways, it was the defeat in 1967 and the need to get the Sinai back that helped shift Egypt out of the Soviet6 orbit toward the United States," Cofman Wittes added. "And ultimately, to get Egypt to conclude that historic peace with Israel, which really changed the fundamental reality of the Arab-Israeli conflict and began a diplomatic process led by the United States that we are still involved in today.”
Sarah Yerkes, another Middle East expert, works for the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. In her view, it is key that Israel won control of Jerusalem and increased the buffer7 zone separating the Jewish state from its neighbors: “At that time in 1967, when you have enemies coming from all sides, expanding your territory is important, just militarily and strategically.”
However, that expansion meant that Israel was suddenly controlling a large Palestinian population. The occupied territory and the claims by both Israelis and Palestinians for their own independent state form the crux8 of the unresolved conflict five decades later. Two generations of Israelis and Palestinians have never known anything but physical and psychological separation, and that has framed their views.
“Young Israeli and Palestinian are more skeptical9 than their parents and grandparents of the prospects10 for a two-state solution," said Cofman Wittes. "Majorities of Israelis and Palestinians still prefer a two-state outcome to any other outcome of their conflict. But they believe less and less that it’s going happen in their lifetimes.”
The Brooking4 Institution analyst2 said that skepticism is a real obstacle to any leader who might want to take big steps toward peace.
During a recent visit to Israel, President Donald Trump11 said he is personally committed to helping12 Israelis and Palestinians achieve a peace agreement, and that he believes leaders on both sides want peace.
Carnegie analyst Sarah Yerkes cautions that even if Israeli and Palestinian leaders could overcome domestic pressures to try to forge a peace deal, the negotiations themselves would require a lot of U.S. manpower and focus. She also noted13 the Trump administration continuing inability to fill key positions at the State Department to sustain such an effort.
Cofman Wittes, who describes herself as skeptical about the near-term chances for an agreement resolving the Middle East crisis, said Trump’s avowed14 intention to move the peace process forward as best he can should be taken seriously.
1 stunned | |
adj. 震惊的,惊讶的 动词stun的过去式和过去分词 | |
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2 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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3 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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4 brooking | |
容忍,忍受(brook的现在分词形式) | |
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5 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
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6 Soviet | |
adj.苏联的,苏维埃的;n.苏维埃 | |
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7 buffer | |
n.起缓冲作用的人(或物),缓冲器;vt.缓冲 | |
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8 crux | |
adj.十字形;难事,关键,最重要点 | |
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9 skeptical | |
adj.怀疑的,多疑的 | |
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10 prospects | |
n.希望,前途(恒为复数) | |
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11 trump | |
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭 | |
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12 helping | |
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的 | |
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13 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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14 avowed | |
adj.公开声明的,承认的v.公开声明,承认( avow的过去式和过去分词) | |
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