希拉里会因“邮件门”调查而落选吗？

 　　在距离大选投票日不到两周之际，美国联邦调查局（FBI）投下了“震撼弹”。据报道，FBI于美国当地时间10月28日重启对于民主党总统候选人希拉里?克林顿“邮件门”的调查，目前调查还没有进展。而最新民调显示，事件对于希拉里选情的影响已经显现，希拉里的支持率仅仅领先对手共和党人唐纳德?特朗普1%。这会不会是今年大选的“十月惊奇”？希拉里真的危险了吗？

　　A week ago, the US election looked to be over.

　　一星期以前，美国大选看似胜负已定。

　　Hillary Clinton was riding so high in the polls after a disastrous¹ series of gaffes² by Donald Trump³ that few could conceive of a Republican path to victory on 8 November. Fridays intervention⁴ by the FBI may not be enough to change that outcome on its own, but it has certainly set political imaginations running wild.

　　随着唐纳德?特朗普的屡次灾难性失态，希拉里?克林顿在民意调查中的人气扶摇直上，若论11月8日的总统大选，所有人都认为共和党气数已尽。周五，联邦调查局的突然介入虽不至于扭转局势，却也足够掀起人民对政坛的各种臆测了。

　　邮件门

　　The worry for Democrats⁵ is that fresh inquiries⁶ regarding Clintons use of a private email server while secretary of state come at a difficult time.

　　近期希拉里因担任国务卿期间使用私人邮箱服务器而重新遭到调查，民主党对此忧心忡忡，因为这来得太不是时候了。

　　Not only is it hard to prove a negative and re-establish her innocence⁷ with barely a week to go until the election, but the letter to congressional officials from director James Comey capped a tricky⁸ run of news that was already making a sizable dent⁹ in her polling lead.

　　他们的担忧并不仅仅是因为苦于要在大选前短短一周的时候承认负面新闻并重新建立希拉里的清白形象，也是因为联邦调查局局长詹姆斯?科米写给国会官员的信件已经成为一条棘手的新闻，并给希拉里在民调中的领先地位造成了不小的负面影响。

　　Momentum¹⁰ for Trump began to recover first thanks to another set of emails, the contents of which perhaps explain why the Clintons risked so much to try to retain control of her electronic communications in the first place.

　　多亏了另一组邮件，特朗普的势头第一次开始复苏。这些邮件似乎解释了克林顿夫妇不惜冒险也要在第一时间夺回希拉里邮箱账号的理由。

　　Released by WikiLeaks, a factor that US intelligence agencies have blamed on Russian hackers¹¹, these emails to and from campaign chairman John Podesta have been trickling¹² out for weeks, with mostly embarrassing rather than damaging content.

　　邮件的发布者是维基解密，美国情报机构据此将邮件的泄露归咎于俄罗斯黑客。这些希拉里与其竞选主席约翰?波德斯塔的往来邮件数周来被陆续泄露，其中大部分内容与其说是有损形象，不如说是令人尴尬。

　　That changed on Wednesday with the release of a report that appeared to confirm just how much the Clinton family has blurred¹³ the boundaries between its business, charitable and political interests.

　　但周三的报告一泄露，情况就不一样了。这份报告似乎能证实克林顿家族将商业、公益和政治利益混为一谈的程度有多严重。

　　Though almost all of the new information related to Bill rather than Hillary, it gave Trump supporters fresh ammunition¹⁴ at a moment when they were desperate to shift attention from their candidate's own scandals over taxes and alleged¹⁵ inappropriate behaviour towards women.

　　虽然这些新消息大多数有关比尔?克林顿而不是希拉里?克林顿，但也让特朗普支持者们暂时重新振作，将选民的注意力从特朗普避税、发表侮辱女性言论等丑闻上面转移。

　　In an election that many pollsters describe as an unpopularity contest, it does not take much to swing the mood of independent voters.

　　民意调查专家将这场选举称为不得人心的竞选，因此骑墙派选民很容易动摇。

　　By Friday, the combination of no news from Trump and bad news from Clinton had halved¹⁶ her average lead in the polls since the last presidential debate.

　　截至星期五，由于特朗普没什么特别的新闻，而希拉里却爆出了丑闻，自上次总统竞选辩论以来，她在民意调查中的平均优势已经减半。

　　"When the attention was on Trump, Clinton was winning. Now, the attention is on Clinton", said political consultant¹⁷ Frank Luntz, who has predicted the winner in 2016 will be the campaign that keeps the focus on its opponent.

　　“过去民众的注意力集中在特朗普身上时，希拉里的支持率节节攀升。可如今，焦点却在希拉里身上。”政治顾问弗兰克?伦茨说。他预测2016年大选的获胜者，将是把民众焦点集中在对手身上的一位。

　　Sundays average lead for Clinton in national polls of 3.4% ought still to be a healthy safety margin¹⁸.

　　周日的全国民意调查显示，希拉里仍然保持着3.4%的平均领先率，尚在安全范围内。

　　Bill Clintons lead over George Bush shrank from 11 points to just three in the last two weeks of the 1992 election, yet he won by nearly double that margin.

　　在1992年的总统竞选中，比尔?克林顿对老布什的平均领先率在最后两个星期从11%降至仅仅3%，但最后他却以近6%的优势取胜。

　　But among Democrats, a cause for concern if not yet panic is that very few polls published so far were carried out after news broke about the FBI and the emails.

　　但是对于民主党来说，还有一个因素值得忧心，甚至可能值得恐慌，那就是目前公布的民意测验结果中，只有极少部分的投票是在有关联邦调查局和邮件的丑闻爆发后进行的。

　　One reputable survey that got close, an ABC News-Washington Post tracking poll released on Sunday, showed just a one-point overall lead for Clinton.

　　美国广播公司新闻网和《华盛顿邮报》联合进行的民意跟踪调查则更精确。周日，这项值得信赖的民调发布的结果显示，希拉里的全国平均支持率仅仅领先一个百分点。

　　It asked some voters on Friday evening what they thought and found the news had mostly hardened existing opinions but could also play a role at the margins¹⁹.

　　调查者在周五晚上询问了一些选民的看法，发现丑闻虽然主要坚定了选民原本的想法，但也会对支持率产生微弱的影响。

　　"About a third of likely voters say they are less likely to support Clinton given FBI director James Comeys disclosure", said pollster Gary Langer.

　　“大约有三分之一的潜在选民说在詹姆斯?科米的曝光后，他们不太想要支持希拉里了，”民意调查员加里?兰格说。

　　"Given other considerations, 63% say it makes no difference". Only 7% of Clinton supporters felt it would make any difference, but this rises "much higher among groups already predisposed not to vote for her", the poll found.

　　“还有63%的潜在选民说，考虑到其他因素，丑闻不影响他们的投票。”民意调查显示，只有7%的希拉里支持者觉得丑闻对他们有影响，但是这些影响“在原本就不打算投票给希拉里的人群中反响要大得多”。

　　"The potential for a pullback in motivation of Clinton supporters, or further resurgence²⁰ among Trumps²¹, may cause concern in the Clinton camp especially because this dynamic already was under way", Langer added.

　　“希拉里阵营可能会关注希拉里支持者变心的可能性，以及特朗普阵营的进一步复苏——尤其是在当下这种态势已经萌芽的情况下。”兰格补充道。

　　"Intention to vote has grown in Trump support groups in the past week as the intensity²² of criticisms about him has ebbed²³."

　　“随着批评特朗普的声音减少，过去一周特朗普阵营的投票意向人数正在增加。”

　　This CBS poll showed just 5% of Democrats said the issue might make them less likely to support Clinton, compared with more than a quarter of registered Republicans.

　　哥伦比亚广播公司的民调显示只有5%的民主党人士认为这一事件会降低他们对希拉里的支持度。相比之下，超过25%的登记在册的共和党人对此表示肯定。

　　This risk also helps explain the ferocity of Democratic calls for the FBI to urgently exonerate²⁴ Clinton.

　　支持率下滑的风险也解释了为什么民主党义愤填膺地要求联邦调查局立刻为希拉里平反。

　　Many loyalists are convinced the latest trove²⁵ of emails, discovered on equipment shared by Clinton aide Huma Abedin and her estranged²⁶ husband Anthony Weiner, are an irrelevance²⁷.

　　许多希拉里的死忠支持者坚信最近在希拉里的心腹胡玛?阿贝丁及其分居的丈夫安东尼?韦纳用的电子设备中发现的邮件内容只是些细枝末节。

　　Even if some show more classified information passed its way through the private server, it should not change the FBIs earlier decision that a criminal charge would be unfair without evidence of intent or coverup.

　　即使其中有些证据显示希拉里通过私人服务器发送了更为机密的信息，这也不会让联邦调查局改变想法，将这件事定性为犯罪。因为在缺少犯罪意图和掩盖罪行行为的情况下就提起刑事诉讼是不公平的。

　　But so long as this is not categorically established, there may be a nagging²⁸ doubt in some minds that the FBI suspects otherwise.

　　但是只要这件事情还没有盖棺定论，又会有流言蜚语说联邦调查局另有疑虑。

　　Not everyone will be prepared to give Clinton the benefit of the doubt.

　　并不是所有人都准备在这件事上放过希拉里。

　　Some studies have shown just 11% of voters describe Clinton as "honest and trustworthy", lower even than Trumps score of 16%.

　　某些研究显示只有11%的选民认为希拉里“诚实可信”，比特朗普的16%还要低。

　　While it may not be enough to the tip the balance, running for president while facing potential criminal investigation²⁹ is never a good look.

　　尽管“邮件门”的影响还没到扭转局势的地步，但在竞选总统期间遭到刑事调查终归不是一件体面的事。

1 disastrous   

adj.灾难性的，造成灾害的；极坏的，很糟的

参考例句：

• The heavy rainstorm caused a disastrous flood.暴雨成灾。
• Her investment had disastrous consequences.She lost everything she owned.她的投资结果很惨，血本无归。

2 gaffes   

n.失礼，出丑( gaffe的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• The presidential candidate made three mistakes, or gaffes, during his speech. 校长候选人在演讲中出了三次错，或失态。 来自超越目标英语 第4册
• When the microphones were on, gaffes gushed from his lips. 而当电话响起，他却口无遮拦，屡屡失言。 来自互联网

3 trump   

n.王牌，法宝；v.打出王牌，吹喇叭

参考例句：

• He was never able to trump up the courage to have a showdown.他始终鼓不起勇气摊牌。
• The coach saved his star player for a trump card.教练保留他的明星选手，作为他的王牌。

4 intervention   

n.介入，干涉，干预

参考例句：

• The government's intervention in this dispute will not help.政府对这场争论的干预不会起作用。
• Many people felt he would be hostile to the idea of foreign intervention.许多人觉得他会反对外来干预。

5 democrats   

n.民主主义者，民主人士( democrat的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• The Democrats held a pep rally on Capitol Hill yesterday. 民主党昨天在国会山召开了竞选誓师大会。
• The democrats organize a filibuster in the senate. 民主党党员组织了阻挠议事。 来自《简明英汉词典》

6 inquiries   

n.调查( inquiry的名词复数 )；疑问；探究；打听

参考例句：

• He was released on bail pending further inquiries. 他获得保释，等候进一步调查。
• I have failed to reach them by postal inquiries. 我未能通过邮政查询与他们取得联系。 来自《现代汉英综合大词典》

7 innocence   

n.无罪；天真；无害

参考例句：

• There was a touching air of innocence about the boy.这个男孩有一种令人感动的天真神情。
• The accused man proved his innocence of the crime.被告人经证实无罪。

8 tricky   

adj.狡猾的，奸诈的；(工作等)棘手的，微妙的

参考例句：

• I'm in a rather tricky position.Can you help me out?我的处境很棘手，你能帮我吗？
• He avoided this tricky question and talked in generalities.他回避了这个非常微妙的问题，只做了个笼统的表述。

9 dent   

n.凹痕，凹坑；初步进展

参考例句：

• I don't know how it came about but I've got a dent in the rear of my car.我不知道是怎么回事，但我的汽车后部有了一个凹痕。
• That dent is not big enough to be worth hammering out.那个凹陷不大，用不着把它锤平。

10 momentum   

n.动力，冲力，势头；动量

参考例句：

• We exploit the energy and momentum conservation laws in this way.我们就是这样利用能量和动量守恒定律的。
• The law of momentum conservation could supplant Newton's third law.动量守恒定律可以取代牛顿第三定律。

11 hackers   

n.计算机迷( hacker的名词复数 )；私自存取或篡改电脑资料者，电脑“黑客”

参考例句：

• They think of viruses that infect an organization from the outside.They envision hackers breaking into their information vaults. 他们考虑来自外部的感染公司的病毒，他们设想黑客侵入到信息宝库中。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• Arranging a meeting with the hackers took weeks againoff-again email exchanges. 通过几星期电子邮件往来安排见面，他们最终同意了。 来自互联网

12 trickling   

n.油画底色含油太多而成泡沫状突起v.滴( trickle的现在分词 )；淌；使)慢慢走；缓慢移动

参考例句：

• Tears were trickling down her cheeks. 眼泪顺着她的面颊流了下来。
• The engine was trickling oil. 发动机在滴油。 来自《简明英汉词典》

13 blurred   

v.（使）变模糊( blur的过去式和过去分词 )；（使）难以区分；模模糊糊；迷离

参考例句：

• She suffered from dizziness and blurred vision. 她饱受头晕目眩之苦。
• Their lazy, blurred voices fell pleasantly on his ears. 他们那种慢吞吞、含糊不清的声音在他听起来却很悦耳。 来自《简明英汉词典》

14 ammunition   

n.军火，弹药

参考例句：

• A few of the jeeps had run out of ammunition.几辆吉普车上的弹药已经用光了。
• They have expended all their ammunition.他们把弹药用光。

15 alleged   

a.被指控的，嫌疑的

参考例句：

• It was alleged that he had taken bribes while in office. 他被指称在任时收受贿赂。
• alleged irregularities in the election campaign 被指称竞选运动中的不正当行为

16 halved   

v.把…分成两半( halve的过去式和过去分词 )；把…减半；对分；平摊

参考例句：

• The shares have halved in value . 股价已经跌了一半。
• Overall operating profits halved to $24 million. 总的营业利润减少了一半，降至2，400 万元。 来自《简明英汉词典》

17 consultant   

n.顾问；会诊医师，专科医生

参考例句：

• He is a consultant on law affairs to the mayor.他是市长的一个法律顾问。
• Originally,Gar had agreed to come up as a consultant.原来，加尔只答应来充当我们的顾问。

18 margin   

n.页边空白；差额；余地，余裕；边，边缘

参考例句：

• We allowed a margin of 20 minutes in catching the train.我们有20分钟的余地赶火车。
• The village is situated at the margin of a forest.村子位于森林的边缘。

19 margins   

边( margin的名词复数 )； 利润； 页边空白； 差数

参考例句：

• They have always had to make do with relatively small profit margins. 他们不得不经常设法应付较少的利润额。
• To create more space between the navigation items, add left and right margins to the links. 在每个项目间留更多的空隙，加左或者右的margins来定义链接。

20 resurgence   

n.再起，复活，再现

参考例句：

• A resurgence of his grief swept over Nim.悲痛又涌上了尼姆的心头。
• Police say drugs traffickers are behind the resurgence of violence.警方说毒贩是暴力活动重新抬头的罪魁祸首。

21 trumps   

abbr.trumpets 喇叭；小号；喇叭形状的东西；喇叭筒v.（牌戏）出王牌赢（一牌或一墩）( trump的过去式 )；吹号公告，吹号庆祝；吹喇叭；捏造

参考例句：

• On the day of the match the team turned up trumps. 比赛那天该队出乎意料地获得胜利。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• Every time John is late getting home he trumps up some new excuse. 每次约翰晚回家都会编造个新借口。 来自《简明英汉词典》

22 intensity   

n.强烈，剧烈；强度；烈度

参考例句：

• I didn't realize the intensity of people's feelings on this issue.我没有意识到这一问题能引起群情激奋。
• The strike is growing in intensity.罢工日益加剧。

23 ebbed   

（指潮水）退( ebb的过去式和过去分词 )； 落； 减少； 衰落

参考例句：

• But the pain had ebbed away and the trembling had stopped. 不过这次痛已减退，寒战也停止了。
• But gradually his interest in good causes ebbed away. 不过后来他对这类事业兴趣也逐渐淡薄了。

24 exonerate   

v.免除责任，确定无罪

参考例句：

• Nothing can exonerate her from that.任何解释都难辞其咎。
• There is no reason to exonerate him from the ordinary duties of a citizen.没有理由免除他做公民应尽的义务。

25 trove   

n.被发现的东西，收藏的东西

参考例句：

• He assembled a rich trove of Chinese porcelain.他收集了一批中国瓷器。
• The gallery is a treasure trove of medieval art.这个画廊是中世纪艺术的宝库。

26 estranged   

adj.疏远的，分离的

参考例句：

• He became estranged from his family after the argument.那场争吵后他便与家人疏远了。
• The argument estranged him from his brother.争吵使他同他的兄弟之间的关系疏远了。

27 irrelevance   

n.无关紧要；不相关；不相关的事物

参考例句：

• the irrelevance of the curriculum to children's daily life 课程与孩子们日常生活的脱节
• A President who identifies leadership with public opinion polls dooms himself to irrelevance. 一位总统如果把他的领导和民意测验投票结果等同起来，那么他注定将成为一个可有可无的人物。 来自辞典例句

28 nagging   

adj.唠叨的，挑剔的；使人不得安宁的v.不断地挑剔或批评（某人）( nag的现在分词 )；不断地烦扰或伤害（某人）；无休止地抱怨；不断指责

参考例句：

• Stop nagging—I'll do it as soon as I can. 别唠叨了—我会尽快做的。
• I've got a nagging pain in my lower back. 我后背下方老是疼。 来自《简明英汉词典》

29 investigation   

n.调查，调查研究

参考例句：

• In an investigation,a new fact became known, which told against him.在调查中新发现了一件对他不利的事实。
• He drew the conclusion by building on his own investigation.他根据自己的调查研究作出结论。