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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
We've talked about the huge debt relief bills Congress has approved. To finance them, the Treasury1 says it will borrow $3 trillion in the April-May-June quarter. That is six times the amount borrowed in the previous quarter. So where's all the money coming from? Let's ask David Wessel, director of the Hutchins Center at the Brookings Institution. Hi, David.
DAVID WESSEL: Good morning.
MARTIN: Where's all the money coming from? The government doesn't just have it already.
WESSEL: (Laughter) No. It doesn't. When the Treasury wants to borrow, it holds auctions3. It held one yesterday, another one today and still another tomorrow. What it says is we want to borrow $100 billion. That's this week's auction2. It solicits4 bids. And it borrows from those who offer to lend at the lowest interest rates by giving them IOUs — Treasury notes or Treasury bonds. Who's doing all this lending? Well, there are banks, mutual5 funds, pension funds and the like.
There are a lot of global investors6 who had money outside the United States who are kind of frightened and looking for a safe place to put it. And for all the concern we have about what's going on in the United States, nothing is considered safer than U.S. Treasury debt. And then there's the Federal Reserve, which, through the magic of central banking7, prints money, uses it to buy Treasury bonds — not directly from the Treasury, but from dealers8 who buy it from the Treasury and then sell it to the Fed.
MARTIN: So all that borrowing — I mean, the federal government must be accruing9 a ton of interest. How — is that how it works?
WESSEL: Well, it is, of course. But interest rates are extraordinarily10 low. The Treasury today will borrow $32 billion for 10 years. And it'll pay well under 1% because interest rates are so low. In fact, for the first seven months of the government's fiscal11 year — October through April — the U.S. government spent no more on interest than it did in the same months of the previous fiscal year even though the debt was trillions of dollars higher.
MARTIN: So trillions of dollars of borrowing on top of the trillions of dollars the government already owed, this cannot possibly go on indefinitely.
WESSEL: It certainly can't go on forever. For now, though, the Treasury is having no trouble borrowing all this money at low interest rates. And that's a good thing because they need the money now to invest in the public health, to help people through the pandemic and to keep businesses on life support so we can — until we can safely reopen the economy. No one knows when global investors will stop lending or demand higher interest rates.
Although scary predictions that we're headed for a crisis, a financial crisis, because of the debt — well, we've been hearing them for years and it hasn't come true yet. But given the costs of an ageing population and rising health care spending, the federal debt was on an unsustainable trajectory12 before the pandemic. It's still on an unsustainable trajectory. And someday, we're going to have to cut spending and raise taxes. But this is not someday.
MARTIN: (Laughter) Right. So now that you've told us how we can't afford to spend this money, can you just remind us what we are spending it on? What's it going to be used for?
WESSEL: Well, the government is taking in a lot less money because so many fewer people are working and because it told people they didn't have to pay their income taxes on April 15. They could wait until July 15. And Congress, as you said, has expand — has approved a lot of spending, the $1,200 a month — $1,200 adult stimulus13, the expanse of...
MARTIN: Yeah.
WESSEL: ...Unemployment benefits and all that. The Congressional Budget Office says, in the first seven months of the fiscal year, revenues were down 10% from last year. Spending was up 30% above last year. So that's where the money is going.
MARTIN: David Wessel of Brookings. Thank you.
WESSEL: You're welcome.
1 treasury | |
n.宝库;国库,金库;文库 | |
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2 auction | |
n.拍卖;拍卖会;vt.拍卖 | |
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3 auctions | |
n.拍卖,拍卖方式( auction的名词复数 ) | |
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4 solicits | |
恳请 | |
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5 mutual | |
adj.相互的,彼此的;共同的,共有的 | |
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6 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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7 banking | |
n.银行业,银行学,金融业 | |
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8 dealers | |
n.商人( dealer的名词复数 );贩毒者;毒品贩子;发牌者 | |
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9 accruing | |
v.增加( accrue的现在分词 );(通过自然增长)产生;获得;(使钱款、债务)积累 | |
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10 extraordinarily | |
adv.格外地;极端地 | |
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11 fiscal | |
adj.财政的,会计的,国库的,国库岁入的 | |
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12 trajectory | |
n.弹道,轨道 | |
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13 stimulus | |
n.刺激,刺激物,促进因素,引起兴奋的事物 | |
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